Token Launches · resolved market
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54c59b4a608d86a039a0557e27db56869c8a398ab5ead5aa9df03cad43579a94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,169,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $964,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,169,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5420…dad5backed Yes | 1c | 63,673$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…50ffbacked Yes | 4c | 59,925$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.24 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…2618backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9936…c1a9backed Yes | 1c | 43,186$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.3 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 30c | 34,020$10,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,291.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked Yes | 0c | 29,118$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Yes | 0c | 28,140$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e88…f23fbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 1c | 24,693$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.96 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 55c | 23,696$13,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,659.02 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 22,170$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 64c | 16,899$10,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,005.75 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Yes | 2c | 16,000$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…f55ebacked Yes | 49c | 15,000$7,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,385.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes | 1c | 14,780$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.97 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed Yes | 1c | 14,293$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.43 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ced…1f21backed Yes | 30c | 14,000$4,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,155.8 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…c001backed Yes | 1c | 13,390$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…0c73backed Yes | 1c | 13,388$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 52c | 12,530$6,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,020.83 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0231…45d0backed Yes | 0c | 12,295$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 21c | 12,117$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.37 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Yes | 0c | 11,309$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdc…b42cbacked Yes | 42c | 11,000$4,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,660 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7938…95ccbacked No | 50c | 10,751$5,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,384.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…902abacked No | 64c | 9,632$6,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.23 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 63c | 9,628$6,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,569.97 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…3c74backed No | 62c | 8,836$5,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 58c | 7,810$4,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,242.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9710…5f99backed Yes | 5c | 7,586$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…3477backed Yes | 46c | 6,481$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,011.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 52c | 6,276$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.11 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked No | 58c | 6,129$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c3…e1a4backed Yes | 2c | 5,858$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e8…4ac0backed No | 62c | 5,769$3,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +136%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x886d…3b81backed Yes | 4c | 5,197$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.97 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 35cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…2566backed Yes | 35c | 5,112$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c3…5373backed Yes | 0c | 5,106$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…b1fdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,856$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 9c | 4,500$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086c…d02abacked Yes | 60c | 4,400$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 67c | 4,398$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed No | 70c | 4,258$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.17 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 1c | 4,074$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…5c72backed Yes | 12c | 4,003$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…36fdbacked Yes | 9c | 4,000$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.8 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…cec9backed Yes | 31c | 4,000$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c4…2510backed Yes | 1c | 3,768$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d20…dc78backed Yes | 61c | 3,700$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…01e0backed Yes | 3c | 3,473$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b47…50fdbacked Yes | 47c | 3,171$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 3,159$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.19 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 37c | 3,019$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af2…b14ebacked No | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +1,240%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…1223backed Yes | 2c | 2,991$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…ce96backed Yes | 15c | 2,790$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c1…0605backed Yes | 1c | 2,758$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…747abacked Yes | 16c | 2,504$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 10c | 2,499$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Yes | 3c | 2,436$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f56…9302backed Yes | 53c | 2,228$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…3babbacked Yes | 3c | 2,214$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1673…53a5backed Yes | 47c | 2,144$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a0…802dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,136$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.31 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 64c | 2,130$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.06 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,056$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…4df5backed Yes | 11c | 2,013$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.24 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c2…c7aebacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b1…bc54backed Yes | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…6d24backed No | 75c | 1,986$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.42 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb1…0f73backed Yes | 48c | 1,900$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.9 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes | 23c | 1,809$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.54 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…ad5cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,759$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…9133backed Yes | 46c | 1,738$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad08…a86abacked Yes | 1c | 1,711$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad7…0971backed Yes | 1c | 1,588$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,573$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf548…a0ffbacked Yes | 56c | 1,547$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 3c | 1,520$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 1,490$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…7afbbacked Yes | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 16c | 1,400$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 14c | 1,390$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.65 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…d85ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,386$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…d364backed Yes | 8c | 1,365$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 14c | 1,364$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.51 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…2860backed Yes | 47c | 1,360$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa121…56a3backed Yes | 2c | 1,309$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…e4f1backed No | 37c | 1,223$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.95 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x116b…6db9backed Yes | 9c | 1,200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked No | 23c | 1,167$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…237bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,070$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…bb52backed Yes | 58c | 1,064$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,026$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…0c2fbacked No | 64c | 1,001$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?this page
- Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the Trove public sale?No won
- Over $25M committed to the Trove public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the Trove public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Trove public sale?No won
- Over $4M committed to the Trove public sale?Yes won
- Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?Yes won
- Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.