Token Launches · resolved market
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x316a83cbe35e0b9090674b33379f41ef97b16ee644cc0482f30ae2ef43828d83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $276,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $279,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa75…81f2backed No | 0c | 17,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed No | 0c | 16,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked No | 31c | 12,953$4,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,046.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be3…c64fbacked Yes | 69c | 10,997$7,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked No | 12c | 6,979$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.99 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…d38cbacked No | 5c | 6,560$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.74 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…9133backed No | 40c | 6,434$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed No | 23c | 6,053$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.42 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…ce96backed Yes | 69c | 5,835$4,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 58c | 4,895$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.04 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked No | 11c | 4,553$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.75 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked No | 1c | 4,456$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…7c6abacked No | 1c | 4,324$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed No | 13c | 3,500$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90b…cb6cbacked No | 11c | 2,537$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.31 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3b…63b7backed Yes | 60c | 2,518$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.86 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…158bbacked No | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 38c | 2,436$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.27 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed No | 47c | 2,414$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.96 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed No | 32c | 2,297$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…e424backed No | 10c | 2,200$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 50c | 2,108$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.17 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…2f24backed No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 28c | 1,700$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.29 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 14c | 1,675$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.92 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…f332backed Yes | 79c | 1,593$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.37 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 44c | 1,585$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.2 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…0a3cbacked Yes | 62c | 1,563$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.57 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…7076backed Yes | 64c | 1,551$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed No | 25c | 1,538$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 13c | 1,525$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.38 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…50debacked Yes | 48c | 1,494$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 29c | 1,441$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.66 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2616…8d3cbacked No | 33c | 1,334$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.9 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…6936backed Yes | 58c | 1,328$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.09 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +131.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…b3eebacked Yes | 71c | 1,324$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 38c | 1,226$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.29 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 5c | 1,200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebf…bf3abacked Yes | 72c | 1,200$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e1…a5cdbacked No | 66c | 1,187$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed Yes | 75c | 1,174$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.4 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked No | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda7…583ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,061$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed Yes | 74c | 1,060$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8635…54efbacked No | 30c | 1,007$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…b350backed No | 23c | 1,000$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -58%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd20…6f83backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +186%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…56eabacked No | 65c | 999.98$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed Yes | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 18c | 974.6$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.57 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 77c | 930.11$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.52 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd588…cec0backed Yes | 50c | 894.32$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.79 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed No | 44c | 884.69$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.84 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…c118backed No | 2c | 875.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x846c…a68ebacked No | 4c | 867.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed Yes | 36c | 861$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…fc67backed No | 7c | 855.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 850.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed No | 66c | 829$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe25…8150backed Yes | 66c | 808.12$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.76 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…f4d1backed Yes | 34c | 804$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5420…dad5backed No | 35c | 795.87$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf7…5122backed Yes | 34c | 758$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2951…d4c5backed No | 49c | 738.86$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…0df8backed No | 13c | 729.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked No | 64c | 729$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 32c | 727.54$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.07 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d8…289ebacked Yes | 77c | 705.55$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf05…2a23backed No | 37c | 662.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.57 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…4df5backed Yes | 65c | 658.93$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.43 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0812backed No | 38c | 620$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…6a20backed Yes | 41c | 615.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d0…af08backed Yes | 43c | 601.68$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.68 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 600$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6f…c515backed No | 2c | 600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed Yes | 70c | 600$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…9850backed No | 3c | 599.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…160ebacked Yes | 76c | 586.59$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.59 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…3e62backed Yes | 35c | 586$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked No | 53c | 570.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…01e0backed Yes | 64c | 565.19$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.19 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Yes | 48c | 545$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.4 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…73e0backed No | 39c | 530.66$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.04 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…6aecbacked No | 23c | 522.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x886d…3b81backed No | 45c | 519.47$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.37 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 35cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked No | 11c | 512.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…6924backed Yes | 68c | 500$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.66 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986f…438bbacked Yes | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…0c28backed No | 50c | 499.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a0…11f9backed Yes | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 35c | 499.95$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.2 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7751…7372backed Yes | 61c | 490$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e96…c895backed No | 66c | 480$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 37c | 467.6$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.27 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…5d9ebacked No | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd44…1837backed Yes | 34c | 431$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…df41backed Yes | 73c | 412.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.88 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…4c77backed Yes | 65c | 412.84$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?this page
- Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?Yes won
- Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the Trove public sale?No won
- Over $25M committed to the Trove public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the Trove public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Trove public sale?No won
- Over $4M committed to the Trove public sale?Yes won
- Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.