Token Launches · resolved market
Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5a84ff8ff07843fe094977727aaaf14dc505cb1606480e324f3cce8e905ce3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe23b…9133backed No | 12c | 14,624$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.82 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x846c…a68ebacked No | 0c | 13,371$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed No | 12c | 13,184$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 14c | 7,103$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.66 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 13c | 5,479$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.52 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0812backed No | 18c | 4,199$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 5c | 4,080$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.68 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed No | 1c | 4,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 2c | 3,310$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686c…9d91backed Yes | 79c | 2,417$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 1c | 2,361$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 166 | 2.4%4 W · 162 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…bf25backed Yes | 72c | 2,230$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…50debacked No | 17c | 2,117$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 30c | 2,000$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.99 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 6c | 1,918$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.38 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…0df8backed No | 17c | 1,764$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.89 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed No | 23c | 1,655$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.2 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x075a…fb98backed No | 2c | 1,553$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Yes | 65c | 1,390$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked No | 4c | 1,313$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf05…2a23backed No | 10c | 1,266$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.36 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…fc67backed No | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed No | 11c | 1,200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.02 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed Yes | 80c | 1,190$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…49aabacked No | 8c | 1,133$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 10c | 1,125$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 7c | 1,005$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 75 | 4%3 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 80c | 999.99$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebf…bf3abacked Yes | 68c | 999.98$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1de…9ac7backed No | 15c | 983.43$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…f332backed Yes | 69c | 962.57$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.94 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 21c | 906.18$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 8c | 903.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked No | 11c | 872.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…3ee8backed No | 17c | 829.35$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e1…5aecbacked Yes | 70c | 815$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked No | 26c | 802.75$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.45 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…d38cbacked No | 28c | 799.99$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 69c | 797.42$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.42 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…902abacked Yes | 63c | 732.7$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.56 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 5c | 727$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 8c | 639.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 14c | 624.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.43 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked No | 48c | 621.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…9850backed No | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 78c | 592.24$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.08 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 12c | 564.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 5c | 555$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…c736backed No | 38c | 534.97$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.29 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0850…cb8cbacked No | 9c | 531.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62a…742cbacked Yes | 65c | 518.46$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Yes | 66c | 500$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed No | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 43c | 500$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.23 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…0c28backed No | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…7137backed No | 29c | 489.7$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.64 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 482$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 7c | 469$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36af…12d9backed No | 14c | 461.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5420…dad5backed No | 11c | 455.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed No | 5c | 447.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…7076backed No | 11c | 444$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…1d12backed Yes | 70c | 439.7$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.19 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed Yes | 57c | 437.42$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.09 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…32f0backed No | 16c | 427.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 9c | 400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d0…84e7backed No | 31c | 330$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked No | 5c | 315.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a70…3fc8backed No | 8c | 305.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…6a20backed Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791d…d914backed No | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf0…c5c4backed No | 11c | 299.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…a612backed Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x100b…b67abacked No | 23c | 269.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…14f1backed No | 20c | 260.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f72…87e3backed No | 24c | 260$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e2…fd06backed No | 16c | 255$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4dd…3046backed Yes | 63c | 254.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…b07ebacked No | 12c | 250$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x083b…8ff9backed No | 10c | 249.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba8…11a2backed Yes | 68c | 248.81$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 20c | 243.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed Yes | 77c | 235.52$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 75c | 233.61$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 103 | 70.9%73 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…3560backed No | 22c | 229.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 8c | 210$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 110 | 7.3%8 W · 102 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…593dbacked No | 29c | 209$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -14.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed No | 11c | 205$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +23.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…3dccbacked No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc20…78f3backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…06f8backed No | 43c | 198.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 14c | 192.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf239…3627backed No | 22c | 183.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe599…0dd3backed No | 31c | 171.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…0b02backed Yes | 55c | 146.66$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?this page
- Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?Yes won
- Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the Trove public sale?No won
- Over $25M committed to the Trove public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the Trove public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Trove public sale?No won
- Over $4M committed to the Trove public sale?Yes won
- Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.