Token Launches · resolved market
Will Almanak FDV above $120M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d7694162cc75eab04f3f412ebed61bb42dd3be4ab0c73614b3db84d80845a3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00aa…17edbacked Yes | 68c | 5,046$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…84e6backed Yes | 21c | 2,081$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.19 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b6…86abbacked No | 14c | 1,931$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.16 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…1c1bbacked No | 70c | 1,414$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c2…498ebacked No | 36c | 1,400$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.49per pick | 38cpaid | +132%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…d651backed Yes | 17c | 1,180$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…6a0cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,122$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.38 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 66c | 1,000$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.26 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…12a5backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 47c | 918.66$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.91 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b8…26b2backed Yes | 62c | 900$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 49c | 877.09$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.56 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28b4…3b95backed No | 67c | 870.19$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 29c | 841.45$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.34 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked Yes | 19c | 793.76$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.81 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…3218backed No | 60c | 673.77$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.94 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +268.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x296d…70f9backed No | 34c | 635$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.15 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f65…1679backed No | 60c | 603.52$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.41 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 576.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed No | 73c | 559.98$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.39 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4030…14c0backed Yes | 54c | 547.86$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf135…84f4backed Yes | 27c | 540$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…ab7cbacked Yes | 42c | 520$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 60 | 1.7%1 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d2…2ef7backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea07…d8b7backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 77 | 3.9%3 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 73c | 493.16$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92d…e158backed Yes | 71c | 420.31$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3531…4fb3backed Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed Yes | 65c | 379$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…1ee4backed Yes | 31c | 325.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…4166backed Yes | 34c | 318.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…8863backed No | 65c | 305.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed No | 66c | 302.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.77 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1b…efb5backed No | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +11.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…b445backed No | 54c | 276.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.07 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked No | 35c | 273$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae7…9603backed No | 55c | 269.86$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.58 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7482…8464backed No | 18c | 250$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 19cpaid | +323.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedda…2e39backed Yes | 63c | 239.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.2 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…24dbbacked Yes | 18c | 239.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 29c | 226.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a9…3f60backed No | 45c | 221.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 73c | 215.97$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0e…27a4backed No | 50c | 200.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce7e…e65fbacked No | 64c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.94 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb30…8a73backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa539…c472backed No | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 25cpaid | +83%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82c3…8e50backed Yes | 15c | 197.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed Yes | 68c | 196.64$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.89 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9564…2433backed No | 78c | 186.67$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…8ddbbacked Yes | 32c | 180.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 71c | 180$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73e4…9187backed No | 37c | 161.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.58 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24c9…d693backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 65c | 159.39$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 103 | 70.9%73 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Yes | 34c | 144.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 72c | 138.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 9c | 138.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed No | 67c | 137.24$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3acfbacked Yes | 15c | 134.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…4833backed No | 68c | 131.59$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…feb0backed Yes | 33c | 130$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…b403backed No | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4529…243ebacked No | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 55c | 111.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…c058backed Yes | 48c | 107.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…cb4dbacked No | 69c | 104.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…d562backed Yes | 24c | 102.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…c603backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8203…0187backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -84%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…d26abacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e45…6f64backed No | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 64c | 98.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9b…7a04backed No | 75c | 94.14$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce8…019abacked No | 78c | 90.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…00d4backed No | 35c | 86.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +12.3wins | +0.28per pick | 40cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked No | 35c | 84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…31febacked No | 34c | 70.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…3b3cbacked No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38cc…d5cfbacked No | 63c | 63.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…c903backed No | 33c | 60.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…8dc5backed No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea0…bf6dbacked No | 62c | 53.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffbe…1dfabacked Yes | 56c | 53.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc2…9271backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…421dbacked No | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 47c | 48.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 31c | 48.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 35c | 41.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 204 | 22.1%45 W · 159 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…197bbacked No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed No | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…45ddbacked No | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6b…5293backed No | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a76…c4e9backed No | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Almanak FDV above $120M one day after launch?this page
- Will Almanak FDV above $100M one day after launch?No won
- Will Almanak FDV above $140M one day after launch?No won
- Will Almanak FDV above $160M one day after launch?No won
- Will Almanak FDV above $250M one day after launch?No won
- Will Almanak FDV above $50M one day after launch?No won
- Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.