Will Almanak FDV above $140M one day after launch?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb60b24b9e3943612edbcbeb71c5a8df7d4234398d41240a8df247e9977cc7a4

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 13, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $86,421
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $103,223

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,421 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x74d7…6beabacked Yes	1c	6,451$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.64	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00aa…17edbacked Yes	67c	5,178$3,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,450	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.6wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd2d…84e6backed Yes	15c	4,460$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.69	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	+6.8wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2048…f572backed No	57c	2,547$1,455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,091.74	90	46.7%42 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb81f…a0f5backed No	79c	2,449$1,934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.39	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b6…86abbacked No	17c	2,000$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,660	44	25%11 W · 33 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f65…1679backed No	75c	1,260$943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.84	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+3.7wins	+0.22per pick	54cpaid	+34%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x39d2…2ef7backed Yes	3c	1,100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	12cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce94…5d59backed Yes	2c	1,092$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.98	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-71.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e6…3218backed No	67c	1,030$691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.46	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+5.6wins	+0.22per pick	44cpaid	+268.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x70fd…5973backed Yes	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	26cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe730…e424backed No	34c	993.98$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$652.73	69	34.8%24 W · 45 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	-4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	6c	914.88$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.42	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd097…959fbacked Yes	10c	900$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	2c	896.96$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.59	77	3.9%3 W · 74 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ee…9597backed No	61c	851.84$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.92	162	47.5%77 W · 85 L	+13.9wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed No	33c	800$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$536	238	41.2%98 W · 140 L	+25.1wins	+0.11per pick	31cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes	2c	686.48$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	60	1.7%1 W · 59 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-72.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1602…6945backed Yes	76c	660.81$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82c3…8e50backed Yes	18c	651.05$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.18	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7402…6a0cbacked Yes	25c	650.6$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.43	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	3c	592.23$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.45	254	1.6%4 W · 250 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf4d…1ee4backed Yes	17c	590$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	44	15.9%7 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x882e…e757backed Yes	61c	574.89$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.14	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x429a…d58cbacked Yes	19c	531.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed Yes	12c	529.13$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.2	72	31.9%23 W · 49 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcef…7388backed Yes	2c	500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	45	2.2%1 W · 44 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea07…d8b7backed Yes	14c	483.05$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.63	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No	73c	473.78$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.5	107	56.1%60 W · 47 L	+8.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe92d…e158backed Yes	49c	410.55$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-3.1wins	-0.35per pick	46cpaid	-85.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0e0e…ce41backed Yes	40c	405$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.5	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	3c	400$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	119	0.8%1 W · 118 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-85.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6175…f134backed Yes	24c	330.33$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.98	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4930…82abbacked Yes	7c	320$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.7	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ae7…9603backed No	63c	316.27$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.62	66	56.1%37 W · 29 L	+9.0wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4e45…6f64backed No	66c	305$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.7	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+5.4wins	+0.19per pick	43cpaid	+69.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2f7f…fb6bbacked No	75c	286.36$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.59	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa539…c472backed Yes	20c	276.02$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.07	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+2.2wins	+0.32per pick	25cpaid	+83%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x38cc…d5cfbacked No	64c	272$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.28	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7482…8464backed No	18c	270$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.9	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+2.9wins	+0.48per pick	19cpaid	+323.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x124e…ab7cbacked Yes	34c	259.45$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.13	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	24c	256.29$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.72	73	34.2%25 W · 48 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc690…0decbacked Yes	60c	248.44$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad23…47c4backed No	78c	220$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.8	107	63.6%68 W · 39 L	+11.1wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3d7…61b8backed No	22c	217.53$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.32	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+3.1wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d06…00d4backed No	64c	203.43$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.43	44	68.2%30 W · 14 L	+12.3wins	+0.28per pick	40cpaid	+70.5%equal weight	70+0.18 edge/pick
0x6e9a…d9d7backed Yes	30c	200.64$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.57	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-4.6wins	-0.21per pick	48cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	63c	200$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74	167	40.7%68 W · 99 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fc7…1a35backed No	37c	186$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	28cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes	15c	179.03$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.51	254	22%56 W · 198 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	13c	177.78$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.44	209	4.3%9 W · 200 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc2…9271backed No	69c	160.56$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.77	47	31.9%15 W · 32 L	-5.0wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x149d…24babacked No	66c	136.07$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.71	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedda…2e39backed Yes	30c	125.29$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	92	40.2%37 W · 55 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes	53c	125.28$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.49	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-3.1wins	-0.26per pick	43cpaid	-73.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x76c9…1917backed No	17c	121.51$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.86	53	30.2%16 W · 37 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1321…45ddbacked Yes	59c	120$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59b8…26b2backed Yes	34c	112.69$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.79	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0605…1634backed Yes	20c	110$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.24per pick	31cpaid	+62.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked No	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.05	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	36cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9a…49e3backed Yes	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.1	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3f3…0230backed Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	23cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8203…0187backed Yes	39c	100$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-4.8wins	-0.30per pick	42cpaid	-84%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8498…2460backed Yes	76c	100$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.4wins	-0.72per pick	72cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7329…d562backed Yes	18c	93$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.74	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x290d…9e42backed Yes	63c	91$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.33	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f58…e29abacked Yes	63c	88$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.44	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.32per pick	43cpaid	+363.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5986…83e3backed Yes	59c	79.97$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.78	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6797…42fbbacked No	63c	79.37$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.37	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.7wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+61%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x35e7…54d2backed Yes	13c	78.48$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.17per pick	35cpaid	-72.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4030…14c0backed Yes	25c	77.66$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.47	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.25per pick	47cpaid	-65.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9180…ac3dbacked No	65c	72.62$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.62	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70a…692ebacked Yes	41c	72.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.21per pick	39cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00a1…04b8backed Yes	49c	70$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.3	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f55…8de3backed No	42c	69.67$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.27	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.30per pick	37cpaid	+80%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a8…37fdbacked No	73c	68.12$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.12	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe448…e738backed No	49c	66.94$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.29	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fd…8263backed Yes	32c	62.83$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41dc…1cf1backed No	36c	60.27$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.57	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+4.1wins	+0.29per pick	35cpaid	+92.1%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No	47c	60.26$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.03	463	20.5%95 W · 368 L	-68.1wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes	24c	60$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-3.2wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a76…c4e9backed No	33c	60$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	+6.7wins	+0.15per pick	33cpaid	+52.6%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x15bf…fd64backed No	41c	50.74$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.89	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	26cpaid	+61.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa75c…8ddbbacked Yes	20c	50.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb40…3612backed Yes	61c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17a5…e00abacked No	58c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.9	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-46%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x735b…bbf3backed No	24c	50$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x169b…5c14backed No	69c	48.13$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.92	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…1a3ebacked No	76c	47.36$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.21	103	70.9%73 W · 30 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	67cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	48c	45$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.49	212	40.6%86 W · 126 L	-9.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ba…c903backed No	45c	44.11$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.11	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+115.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7140…31febacked No	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.91	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e41…23a2backed Yes	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-3.1wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ff0…c7aabacked No	38c	40$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.93	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8752…009dbacked Yes	40c	37.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb631…8a87backed No	38c	35.44$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.97	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffbe…1dfabacked Yes	58c	34.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ba8…bffcbacked No	71c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.7	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64ca…7d34backed No	76c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b03…4dc0backed No	55c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.25per pick	35cpaid	+139.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Almanak FDV above $140M one day after launch?this page
Will Almanak FDV above $100M one day after launch?No won
Will Almanak FDV above $120M one day after launch?No won
Will Almanak FDV above $160M one day after launch?No won
Will Almanak FDV above $250M one day after launch?No won
Will Almanak FDV above $50M one day after launch?No won
Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Almanak FDV above $140M one day after launch?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event