Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba8cc8e881ed2ebad0e4c1671fa9fd66a7022e1efba15add6d64c37d92eac8ec

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 13, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $214,584
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $230,198

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,584 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	0c	13,758$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.77	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed5a…3550backed No	53c	12,499$6,597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,901.37	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+77.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x332f…b8b6backed Yes	42c	11,569$4,865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,865.33	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-3.5wins	-0.32per pick	50cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xebb4…f390backed No	58c	10,000$5,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,200	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0624…053fbacked Yes	59c	7,645$4,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,509.83	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes	4c	7,308$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.69	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78a8…9850backed Yes	69c	5,275$3,618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,617.63	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x808f…87b2backed No	75c	3,400$2,539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$860.88	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6911…947cbacked No	31c	3,335$1,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,309.7	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d8…19e6backed Yes	52c	3,000$1,545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,545	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6903…b6f9backed Yes	6c	3,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33ef…c498backed Yes	18c	2,966$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.93	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-4.6wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ae7…9603backed No	36c	2,234$809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,424.81	66	56.1%37 W · 29 L	+9.0wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4256…e529backed Yes	55c	2,176$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9d5…06dfbacked No	26c	2,166$562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,604.76	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x488b…cc50backed No	76c	2,100$1,598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$502.05	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-48%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76c9…1917backed No	28c	2,053$572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,481.21	53	30.2%16 W · 37 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x197c…9b94backed No	43c	2,000$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,150	130	23.8%31 W · 99 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b7f…0380backed No	74c	1,901$1,399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.8	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed No	17c	1,874$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,557.54	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b6…86abbacked Yes	50c	1,842$918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$918.15	44	25%11 W · 33 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Yes	13c	1,808$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.46	71	23.9%17 W · 54 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fc…6033backed No	52c	1,749$911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$838.66	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x11d3…7471backed Yes	62c	1,710$1,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,064	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+405.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	7c	1,489$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.86	237	7.2%17 W · 220 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…a3d6backed Yes	52c	1,488$767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$766.87	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No	54c	1,407$765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.3	107	56.1%60 W · 47 L	+8.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3252…81cfbacked Yes	73c	1,400$1,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,015	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…6246backed Yes	39c	1,311$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.18	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb020…c84abacked Yes	57c	1,300$746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$746.39	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked No	51c	1,260$643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$617.36	131	31.3%41 W · 90 L	+12.1wins	+0.09per pick	22cpaid	+164.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x11e9…4136backed No	59c	1,209$713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$496.36	86	30.2%26 W · 60 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…085cbacked Yes	45c	1,166$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d61…d501backed Yes	8c	1,119$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.2	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-67%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7402…6a0cbacked Yes	56c	1,105$614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$613.63	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	2c	1,093$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.06	77	3.9%3 W · 74 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbecc…5f5bbacked Yes	9c	1,062$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.58	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	+94.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c2…498ebacked No	25c	1,049$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$782.25	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+3.9wins	+0.49per pick	38cpaid	+132%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x28b4…3b95backed Yes	76c	1,048$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	72cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Yes	19c	1,039$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc67e…b892backed Yes	59c	1,025$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x884d…1da6backed Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.15per pick	28cpaid	+167.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Yes	10c	1,000$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea07…d8b7backed Yes	14c	1,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed Yes	26c	999.98$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	72	31.9%23 W · 49 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf135…84f4backed Yes	53c	979.99$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.4	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89e8…b06cbacked Yes	41c	969.71$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.58	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e4…9187backed No	13c	916.93$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$799.77	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+4.9wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b9a…12a5backed Yes	54c	911.65$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.47	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes	3c	901.4$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.25	60	1.7%1 W · 59 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-72.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	3c	898.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.47	119	0.8%1 W · 118 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-85.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcef…7388backed Yes	3c	870.97$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.67	45	2.2%1 W · 44 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	3c	806.49$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.15	112	2.7%3 W · 109 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733b…0268backed No	37c	800$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	+9.4wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	+38%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb357…ff05backed No	25c	800$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	3c	800$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	254	1.6%4 W · 250 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	54c	800$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-58.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae98…210cbacked Yes	51c	786.21$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-3.2wins	-0.25per pick	63cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5a2b…c3cbbacked No	47c	768.17$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410.71	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	27cpaid	+106.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2560…a34fbacked Yes	66c	755.36$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.34	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+2.8wins	+0.11per pick	41cpaid	+74.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes	39c	747.2$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.91	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd09…9c71backed Yes	67c	740.8$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.56	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	68cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb33…0acbbacked Yes	41c	731.34$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.85	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9be…e11dbacked No	80c	688.9$548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.84	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa539…c472backed No	18c	685.67$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564.3	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+2.2wins	+0.32per pick	25cpaid	+83%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c95…1c1bbacked No	38c	679$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420.98	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.29per pick	43cpaid	+73.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3531…4fb3backed Yes	19c	649.99$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb1b…efb5backed No	41c	623.99$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370.12	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	+11.4wins	+0.20per pick	37cpaid	+74.3%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xab51…2473backed No	12c	597.1$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$527.13	134	22.4%30 W · 104 L	+12.7wins	+0.09per pick	13cpaid	+175.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked No	29c	594.17$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.28	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abe…6c5ebacked Yes	32c	557.58$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed No	41c	551.78$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.55	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd942…47f3backed Yes	70c	542.49$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.29	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-3.8wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf588…72a9backed No	59c	540$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.61	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa5…427abacked No	58c	539.31$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.22	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-4.8wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6bfa…23debacked Yes	58c	520$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.6	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dfe…8131backed Yes	58c	500$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed No	48c	496.8$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.05	69	37.7%26 W · 43 L	+8.0wins	+0.12per pick	26cpaid	+87.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa53e…0009backed No	44c	489.56$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.15	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x898f…894fbacked No	33c	455.21$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.29	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+51.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf4d…1ee4backed Yes	15c	441.3$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.25	44	15.9%7 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad23…47c4backed Yes	54c	435$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.1	107	63.6%68 W · 39 L	+11.1wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7950…1d42backed No	25c	400$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c2…a50ebacked No	25c	400$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	11	100%11 W · 0 L	+4.8wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+97.6%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed No	55c	400$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e0…d94abacked No	61c	400$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x783e…d7c8backed Yes	40c	400$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca4…923dbacked No	64c	392.94$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.94	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x124e…ab7cbacked Yes	74c	371.19$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.97	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb69f…8f0fbacked Yes	56c	357.31$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…ffd4backed No	59c	330$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.3	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x093f…07b4backed No	42c	327.93$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.41	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+3.1wins	+0.12per pick	23cpaid	+17%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes	55c	318.69$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.64	254	22%56 W · 198 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x215f…1359backed No	32c	313.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.14	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.40per pick	27cpaid	+73.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x711f…f51bbacked Yes	32c	311.11$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-4.8wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-44%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd2d…84e6backed No	25c	301.41$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.25	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	+6.8wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ea5…3fdabacked Yes	34c	300$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+4.6wins	+0.16per pick	29cpaid	+61.7%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xa562…1dd9backed Yes	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ed…ecf7backed Yes	12c	300$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7914…4f73backed No	35c	299.99$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.99	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?this page
Will Almanak FDV above $100M one day after launch?No won
Will Almanak FDV above $120M one day after launch?No won
Will Almanak FDV above $140M one day after launch?No won
Will Almanak FDV above $160M one day after launch?No won
Will Almanak FDV above $250M one day after launch?No won
Will Almanak FDV above $50M one day after launch?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event