TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd7d8…19e6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: AI, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category AI at 57 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT2821.4%6 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,115.88
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$368
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,154.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,463.67
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+745.6%+$2,346.69
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.96
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$620.76
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.32
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.4
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.3
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.21
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$879Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$878.96
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$805
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.39
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50.66
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$234.29
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+311%+$2,409.52
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$195
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$914Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$913.79
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+107.4%+$322.03
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,069Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,068.8
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-63.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Almanak FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$960
Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,545Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,545
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$545.26
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,755Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+192.6%+$9,156.64
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $600M and $800M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$413.55
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,190.88
Over $15M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$63.35
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick4cpaid+887.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+614.3%+$258
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,464Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$859.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$227.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$299.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$86.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.