Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72503e9d888ae4c2d7b083d9ba3e57e556fa76b3c46c95bb418f52218f6071a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $987,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,059,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $987,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 53,155$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 3c | 49,010$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.19 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedac…8ac0backed Yes | 0c | 40,888$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…0ec7backed Yes | 0c | 39,999$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -97.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 34,999$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b52dbacked Yes | 2c | 16,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…c8a7backed Yes | 8c | 15,300$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.46 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aea…518fbacked Yes | 0c | 15,221$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b4…d3e9backed Yes | 0c | 14,755$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 1c | 14,404$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.24 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x838b…a75cbacked Yes | 2c | 13,432$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.43 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…8727backed Yes | 7c | 12,000$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +280.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…e572backed Yes | 6c | 11,827$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.44 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes | 0c | 7,995$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…f771backed Yes | 1c | 7,143$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -82%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 20c | 6,885$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.68 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 6c | 6,219$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc66…83e1backed Yes | 8c | 6,031$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked No | 80c | 5,625$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de3…45b1backed Yes | 3c | 5,277$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…3fdbbacked Yes | 6c | 4,860$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed Yes | 4c | 4,829$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.79 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07a…98f7backed Yes | 6c | 4,434$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a2…7967backed Yes | 12c | 4,167$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d8…19e6backed Yes | 5c | 4,152$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf915…8720backed No | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,360$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.43 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76b…2455backed Yes | 12c | 3,337$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…aebebacked Yes | 1c | 3,300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…6cc0backed Yes | 3c | 3,206$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…74dabacked Yes | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a8…34f5backed Yes | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee0…589bbacked Yes | 5c | 3,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…d09abacked Yes | 1c | 2,981$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 2,882$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.17 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…2b36backed Yes | 7c | 2,738$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd407…6abfbacked Yes | 7c | 2,570$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed Yes | 5c | 2,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…c983backed Yes | 8c | 2,445$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 22c | 2,405$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.97 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 2c | 2,345$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…514abacked Yes | 4c | 2,040$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…b6dcbacked Yes | 5c | 2,025$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.87 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x173f…69b0backed No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f9dfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,788$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf475…ee8cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,742$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b0d1backed Yes | 13c | 1,563$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.37 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -76%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…87a8backed Yes | 5c | 1,547$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c76…c8d5backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c6b4backed Yes | 4c | 1,500$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d2…05a8backed Yes | 3c | 1,496$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 1c | 1,429$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…eecbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,390$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,372$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…0951backed Yes | 3c | 1,329$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…b0e9backed Yes | 2c | 1,300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7719…fbc8backed Yes | 4c | 1,300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f4…43d8backed Yes | 7c | 1,233$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…4cfbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,142$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bd…ebf2backed Yes | 12c | 1,129$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…d6e4backed Yes | 4c | 1,084$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4aa…8d91backed Yes | 4c | 1,053$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…c6e5backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…0e31backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…1aa6backed Yes | 4c | 862.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…92f9backed Yes | 3c | 846.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 7c | 802.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…7adcbacked Yes | 2c | 725.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…f622backed Yes | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3a…e1b6backed Yes | 3c | 674.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3a…6e70backed Yes | 3c | 661.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…7e4bbacked No | 80c | 644.63$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 8c | 630.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7d…8407backed Yes | 2c | 613.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…be7cbacked Yes | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…0aa5backed Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa779…e265backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526c…cfabbacked Yes | 6c | 572.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +274.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…d3aabacked Yes | 4c | 530.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc681…109cbacked No | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7c…c08ebacked Yes | 3c | 500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…8a1dbacked Yes | 13c | 499.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…fc1abacked Yes | 22c | 473.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…2aa7backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 14c | 445.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe323…9784backed Yes | 12c | 420$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc06…87c8backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628c…c651backed Yes | 16c | 372.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8c…ddecbacked Yes | 6c | 357.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -9.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…7da1backed Yes | 4c | 296.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…a1fcbacked Yes | 8c | 250.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…e2b1backed Yes | 5c | 241.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,200 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,600 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,800 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.