Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21d69b710998125be19c5878c1d0672ba8a954aa8e3e25c61e66f02e17efc56a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,644,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,682,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,644,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 492 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde92…5e10backed Yes | 30c | 177,514$53,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,895.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 63c | 97,111$60,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,213.07 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 49c | 96,960$47,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,308.78 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ee…7537backed No | 40c | 75,639$30,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,255.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 57c | 54,269$30,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,500.63 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…6e0fbacked Yes | 39c | 43,921$17,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,704.83 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed No | 79c | 41,505$32,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,874.95 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 50c | 29,434$14,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,705.03 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…f135backed Yes | 26c | 26,316$6,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,554 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b6…80b9backed No | 61c | 25,999$15,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,859.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked No | 32c | 23,506$7,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,476.96 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9da…e12cbacked No | 0c | 19,991$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf98e…797fbacked Yes | 51c | 19,610$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,609.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb4…b811backed Yes | 40c | 18,000$7,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,779.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…45cebacked Yes | 41c | 12,370$5,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,258.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…fca5backed Yes | 53c | 11,219$5,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,258.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 45c | 10,935$4,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,037.13 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a9…1898backed No | 0c | 10,600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 31c | 10,446$3,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,214.66 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 54c | 10,314$5,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,751.76 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…1c24backed No | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…81f2backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 25c | 9,500$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,124.82 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed No | 61c | 9,000$5,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,490 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 68c | 8,196$5,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550.9 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed No | 12c | 8,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e0…4012backed Yes | 25c | 7,927$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,912.83 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…bedebacked Yes | 52c | 6,823$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,267.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9630…b278backed No | 15c | 6,600$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked No | 74c | 6,444$4,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,749.11 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 67c | 6,326$4,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,241.42 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…7c15backed Yes | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c75…1b0dbacked Yes | 32c | 5,868$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,966.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +208.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…d32bbacked Yes | 52c | 5,361$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 27c | 5,060$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,698.41 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…4d2fbacked No | 66c | 5,021$3,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,323.98 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.9wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…8aa4backed Yes | 47c | 5,000$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.72 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed No | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f0…bdd3backed No | 4c | 4,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bd…f6a8backed Yes | 31c | 4,216$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Yes | 24c | 4,210$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.5 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…80a3backed Yes | 30c | 4,109$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…ae93backed Yes | 23c | 4,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…7586backed No | 48c | 3,999$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.7 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked Yes | 47c | 3,925$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.88 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 67c | 3,578$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.72 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e7…3bddbacked Yes | 56c | 3,577$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fa…c4d6backed Yes | 68c | 3,550$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c4…a051backed Yes | 23c | 3,526$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.09 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes | 33c | 3,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 28c | 3,430$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.12 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…132abacked Yes | 14c | 3,400$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd62a…5fefbacked No | 9c | 3,050$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…37eabacked No | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…ab27backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 46c | 2,867$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.9 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 18c | 2,780$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.97 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…a499backed Yes | 67c | 2,700$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.09 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed No | 37c | 2,700$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 15c | 2,621$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.48 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 50c | 2,616$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.95 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…d27dbacked Yes | 38c | 2,612$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.54 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…c43ebacked Yes | 39c | 2,554$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb0…afcebacked No | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…8727backed No | 51c | 2,500$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +280.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…806ebacked No | 61c | 2,483$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.34 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…f422backed Yes | 76c | 2,473$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.43 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Yes | 49c | 2,293$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.66 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c8…de9ebacked Yes | 36c | 2,199$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Yes | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.86 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 13c | 2,094$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.48 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663a…5c51backed No | 39c | 2,076$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…ed1fbacked Yes | 49c | 2,043$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.71 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…29f7backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x979d…189bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,960$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.72 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +5.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +139.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed No | 44c | 1,929$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.45 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed No | 53c | 1,890$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.86 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…0614backed Yes | 25c | 1,881$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ab…dbe8backed No | 54c | 1,770$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,700$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bce…59a2backed No | 49c | 1,540$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…e664backed Yes | 50c | 1,513$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.62 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x515a…de7fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,498$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 49c | 1,383$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.02 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a0…8f62backed No | 62c | 1,372$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f5…b7e4backed Yes | 64c | 1,369$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…a76dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,360$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…ce22backed No | 1c | 1,350$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 83 | 7.2%6 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…76cabacked No | 61c | 1,340$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 53c | 1,314$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked No | 79c | 1,300$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.61 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6824…f6e6backed Yes | 17c | 1,295$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.44 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +84%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…8b32backed Yes | 55c | 1,272$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.87 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed No | 69c | 1,209$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…731ebacked No | 78c | 1,179$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…1f98backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +315.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…66b2backed No | 74c | 1,100$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…1eebbacked Yes | 10c | 1,050$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 12cpaid | +415.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…447cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,006$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…52c2backed Yes | 17c | 1,004$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.54 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,200 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,600 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,800 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.