Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe04a62a78d59f93895e07f4b3942538fd89993fe85535ae8607b3a132ea02388

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 1, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,201,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,243,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,201,286 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0bf2…f6ccbacked Yes	5c	48,156$2,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,214.79	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes	0c	34,999$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	229	0%0 W · 229 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes	0c	31,160$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.75	136	0%0 W · 136 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa39…977fbacked Yes	0c	23,239$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.73	148	8.8%13 W · 135 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes	4c	22,410$832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$831.69	183	15.3%28 W · 155 L	+10.8wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…0ec7backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	53	1.9%1 W · 52 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-97.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a1e…04c0backed Yes	0c	19,995$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.99	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7bc9…7361backed Yes	0c	19,172$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.39	83	2.4%2 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-74.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca5…8727backed Yes	5c	17,000$866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$866.5	45	15.6%7 W · 38 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	8cpaid	+280.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13cb…a48abacked Yes	1c	14,058$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.13	99	13.1%13 W · 86 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9285…c19dbacked Yes	0c	13,166$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.17	79	2.5%2 W · 77 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-96%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x838b…a75cbacked Yes	2c	12,770$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.36	30	0%0 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes	14c	12,615$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750	70	18.6%13 W · 57 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-34%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e54…90b5backed Yes	4c	12,486$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b91…e572backed Yes	4c	12,000$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.33	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…6cc0backed Yes	3c	11,523$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.62	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+62.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes	2c	11,169$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.31	54	11.1%6 W · 48 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	4cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa92d…4e71backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	50	6%3 W · 47 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-90.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc4a…104fbacked Yes	3c	10,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd980…5be0backed Yes	7c	9,725$694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$693.54	112	10.7%12 W · 100 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+120.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b6a…188bbacked Yes	0c	9,673$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.02	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7558…2d70backed Yes	2c	9,594$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.26	110	5.5%6 W · 104 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc66…83e1backed Yes	6c	8,944$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-4.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd5ab…7dc4backed Yes	14c	8,504$1,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,210.09	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b4…d3e9backed Yes	1c	8,429$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5fe…b52dbacked Yes	1c	8,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	36	2.8%1 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x252d…c456backed Yes	13c	7,343$943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$942.77	477	21.6%103 W · 374 L	-21.2wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x249b…5df1backed Yes	3c	7,257$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.66	76	19.7%15 W · 61 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Yes	1c	7,017$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.84	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-86.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	6,802$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.5	1,844	4.4%81 W · 1,763 L	-13.1wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f4…0fc7backed Yes	21c	6,710$1,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,392.49	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc951…7adcbacked Yes	1c	6,402$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.29	41	4.9%2 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-85.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59c4…b517backed Yes	15c	6,309$946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$946.1	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4de3…45b1backed Yes	4c	5,620$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e1…ccc9backed Yes	2c	5,266$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf23…3433backed Yes	4c	5,100$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fdf…4452backed Yes	1c	4,500$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	101	5.9%6 W · 95 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+121.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes	1c	4,500$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.5	80	10%8 W · 72 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	-52%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0646…cca5backed Yes	5c	4,395$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes	4c	4,267$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.85	74	23%17 W · 57 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	-25%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1730…0885backed Yes	3c	4,055$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-72.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes	6c	4,052$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.11	258	24%62 W · 196 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf676…2b36backed Yes	5c	3,988$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x797f…c983backed Yes	6c	3,441$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.86	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0978…0d99backed Yes	3c	3,415$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.21	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaed2…8e93backed Yes	6c	3,357$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.53	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1247…ab99backed Yes	3c	3,000$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4203…6ff7backed Yes	5c	2,719$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes	3c	2,500$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-69.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd30f…7da2backed Yes	2c	2,496$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c3a…e1b6backed Yes	2c	2,490$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes	7c	2,475$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.93	377	45.9%173 W · 204 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f75…7a33backed Yes	4c	2,457$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	3c	2,324$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.42	89	20.2%18 W · 71 L	+5.0wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1810…45debacked Yes	6c	2,322$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c6b4backed Yes	4c	2,220$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.05	44	13.6%6 W · 38 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcdf…5eacbacked Yes	5c	2,040$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a47…aa53backed Yes	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	44	15.9%7 W · 37 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0b4…9420backed Yes	4c	2,000$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68e6…03e2backed Yes	3c	2,000$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.9	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	4c	1,881$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.77	169	3.6%6 W · 163 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	5c	1,803$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.19	151	9.9%15 W · 136 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3bc…543ebacked Yes	6c	1,726$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2b…b404backed Yes	6c	1,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	42	7.1%3 W · 39 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes	3c	1,535$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8c…ddecbacked Yes	3c	1,411$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	50	0%0 W · 50 L	-9.5wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xfeb5…a393backed No	69c	1,406$976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430	167	61.7%103 W · 64 L	+19.6wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes	1c	1,391$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb07a…98f7backed Yes	4c	1,328$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.97	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes	4c	1,326$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	60	13.3%8 W · 52 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c5…0951backed Yes	2c	1,305$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-3.3wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x720f…0aabbacked Yes	2c	1,137$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b0d1backed Yes	9c	1,129$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	19cpaid	-76%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a1f…0237backed Yes	4c	1,128$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-2.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x560b…85d7backed Yes	2c	1,088$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.89	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedf6…f622backed Yes	13c	1,064$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.33	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Yes	2c	1,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-73.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked Yes	3c	1,000$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.3	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.25per pick	9cpaid	+180.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e8f…ef41backed Yes	3c	999.96$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f4…43d8backed Yes	5c	993.91$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.82	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9297…949fbacked Yes	1c	932.41$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa140…d86fbacked Yes	2c	883.67$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…79b5backed Yes	4c	858.21$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.04	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1fa…11fbbacked Yes	4c	799.79$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4da1…f3c5backed Yes	5c	780.09$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.1	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3af…1aa6backed Yes	3c	754$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.97	36	11.1%4 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd0…8e37backed Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd95…8c17backed Yes	5c	700$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.95	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x233d…d859backed Yes	7c	700$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f3…0772backed Yes	3c	696.68$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98de…812bbacked Yes	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb5f…ba7dbacked Yes	4c	649.14$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.72	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x852e…0900backed Yes	3c	559.77$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a38…360bbacked Yes	7c	555.33$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	116	5.2%6 W · 110 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	-77.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa779…e265backed Yes	4c	540.54$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…be7cbacked Yes	3c	500$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+2.6wins	+0.15per pick	14cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd38a…52c0backed Yes	3c	500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	64	7.8%5 W · 59 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x019a…d3aabacked Yes	3c	500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc7c…c08ebacked Yes	3c	499.98$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+2.5wins	+0.14per pick	20cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e86…e982backed Yes	5c	462.04$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?this page
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?No won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?No won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?No won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?No won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?Yes won
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?Yes won
Will Ethereum dip to $3,200 in November?Yes won
Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 in November?Yes won
Will Ethereum dip to $3,600 in November?Yes won
Will Ethereum dip to $3,800 in November?Yes won
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?No won
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?No won
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?No won
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in November?No won
Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November?No won
Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?No won
Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?No won
Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?No won
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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