Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb97e8b39861180a9cf747af21720c5ed83e6feec76c43b6bc7cfc8059b87ba44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $986,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,005,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $986,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6824…f6e6backed No | 0c | 762,230$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.06 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +84%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…bfacbacked No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…f135backed Yes | 57c | 17,460$9,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,467.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 74c | 10,684$7,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.77 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed No | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…6e0fbacked Yes | 74c | 9,886$7,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.31 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 40c | 7,990$3,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,214.69 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed No | 41c | 7,399$3,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,018.28 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 46c | 5,633$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,067 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…1c24backed No | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…f652backed No | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 61c | 2,002$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.6 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…dcd1backed No | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked No | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 36c | 1,320$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.35 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 57c | 1,230$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed No | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…128fbacked No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ea…4815backed No | 49c | 903.33$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.33 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6622…25d5backed No | 59c | 842.55$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe24d…29cbbacked No | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 4c | 734.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…bed3backed No | 14c | 728.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 52c | 711.83$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.15 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…2b60backed No | 14c | 710$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 28c | 672.05$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.75 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…ff11backed Yes | 70c | 571.53$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.54 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65de…38f3backed Yes | 71c | 566.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed No | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 45c | 499.98$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.49 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked No | 27c | 492.59$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31f…91b0backed No | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…73e0backed No | 15c | 359$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…7e9dbacked No | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 65c | 311.37$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.98 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…831ebacked Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc570…5557backed No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked No | 43c | 292$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.56 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…3fc6backed No | 33c | 220$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…52e8backed Yes | 47c | 214.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +368.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked No | 21c | 213.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked No | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed No | 17c | 191.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…a64ebacked No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55cf…6cd0backed No | 13c | 169.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f6…2ad8backed Yes | 54c | 162.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…b550backed No | 32c | 140.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…bf93backed No | 15c | 126.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…58cebacked Yes | 68c | 118.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d9…5136backed No | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1825…2a73backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…3f1abacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354a…8e81backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d33…4702backed Yes | 73c | 86.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked No | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Yes | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +13.9wins | +0.20per pick | 29cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…104ebacked Yes | 65c | 76.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe638…a296backed No | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f70…ff67backed No | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…1762backed No | 34c | 68.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…8ca6backed Yes | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84b…abacbacked Yes | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…1bf8backed Yes | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd1…c781backed Yes | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…6c69backed Yes | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…4e46backed Yes | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x837c…d4e0backed Yes | 74c | 59.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042f…f8a8backed No | 19c | 59.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 75c | 57.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…570abacked No | 41c | 53.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03fc…05f2backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +22.9wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x76b2…6e79backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35a…4f22backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…82adbacked Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2c…e158backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc79e…942dbacked Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…9c78backed Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…89aabacked Yes | 74c | 39.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3f…00a1backed Yes | 66c | 37.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…767fbacked No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…a86bbacked No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…95c1backed No | 58c | 34.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…5a5abacked Yes | 68c | 33.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…500cbacked Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e1…02fcbacked Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bc…f720backed Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e9…ce66backed Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da0…76f9backed Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f13…edcfbacked Yes | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…2c00backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d70…ec5bbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 in November?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,200 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,600 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,800 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.