Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b2ecf7e1c216b3abc8f8415efaa9f42779eedcac0e85470750dd8abf2ad14e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,073,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,118,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,073,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x447d…65a5backed Yes | 4c | 71,617$3,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 6c | 52,163$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.16 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 3c | 35,777$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.53 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 19,120$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 17,099$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 16,884$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 2c | 16,050$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.3 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bd…f6a8backed Yes | 4c | 14,929$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…970cbacked Yes | 4c | 14,342$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…fca5backed Yes | 4c | 11,298$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb0…afcebacked Yes | 10c | 10,700$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 10,277$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.4 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c3…21a0backed Yes | 3c | 10,158$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.7 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…2078backed Yes | 4c | 10,059$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…3781backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd77…4cbdbacked Yes | 4c | 9,603$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…f814backed Yes | 2c | 8,834$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e0…4012backed Yes | 6c | 8,833$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.65 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…b048backed Yes | 6c | 8,636$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c4…a051backed Yes | 2c | 8,475$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…cac3backed Yes | 3c | 8,000$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -75%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862b…c1d0backed Yes | 2c | 7,610$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 4c | 7,079$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 83 | 2.4%2 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb44…f72dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,891$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…4fe5backed Yes | 3c | 6,540$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ae5fbacked Yes | 4c | 6,105$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b4…997cbacked Yes | 2c | 6,096$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 5c | 5,973$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.96 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0a…df43backed Yes | 5c | 5,826$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…46fabacked Yes | 3c | 5,641$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa133…b362backed Yes | 2c | 5,474$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…2200backed Yes | 3c | 5,347$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4639…1b4dbacked Yes | 3c | 5,300$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88cb…ea5abacked Yes | 3c | 5,225$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 2c | 5,023$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…1a67backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…9b66backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x838b…a75cbacked Yes | 3c | 4,788$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.46 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 2c | 4,360$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.47 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27a…7d3fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,950$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 3c | 3,865$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0022…4f07backed Yes | 2c | 3,530$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6903…b6f9backed Yes | 5c | 3,352$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe551…7382backed Yes | 1c | 3,141$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…29f7backed Yes | 4c | 3,140$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,095$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 3c | 3,055$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7c…c08ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23b8…63acbacked Yes | 8c | 2,941$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf562…4099backed Yes | 1c | 2,643$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 3c | 2,582$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dda…e56abacked Yes | 2c | 2,504$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…8b32backed Yes | 5c | 2,351$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.47 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ed…09fcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,801$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…8e82backed Yes | 1c | 1,800$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7420…4567backed Yes | 6c | 1,786$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…f537backed Yes | 3c | 1,585$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…06abbacked Yes | 3c | 1,568$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…7adcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,423$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…67e4backed Yes | 4c | 1,378$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2feb…b324backed Yes | 3c | 1,353$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f71…912dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,265$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6a…188bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,244$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9540…0921backed Yes | 4c | 1,200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb70…f408backed Yes | 4c | 1,150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…f771backed Yes | 1c | 1,105$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -82%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2c…a9f3backed Yes | 2c | 1,070$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e99…bce3backed Yes | 1c | 1,040$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c86…bb78backed Yes | 10c | 1,009$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…091bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,001$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…52c2backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea6…80b0backed Yes | 4c | 975.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdf…a9efbacked Yes | 3c | 899.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bc…c5fabacked Yes | 8c | 800$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a4…0e24backed Yes | 5c | 778.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda23…080ebacked Yes | 3c | 588.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 9c | 561.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…8d36backed Yes | 4c | 544.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22aa…0caebacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc111…1715backed Yes | 4c | 469$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…4cfbbacked Yes | 4c | 468$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f8…96afbacked Yes | 7c | 455.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -36%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…0495backed Yes | 4c | 451.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28b…3a2abacked Yes | 3c | 408.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b67…a839backed Yes | 6c | 355.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +150.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…1e8abacked Yes | 5c | 306.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…3392backed Yes | 7c | 303.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…5676backed Yes | 4c | 302.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…c734backed Yes | 5c | 232.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23a2…5643backed Yes | 9c | 224.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x623b…ece1backed Yes | 5c | 201.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,200 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,600 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,800 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.