TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,334

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,334 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Over20c16,221$3,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,230.291,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over12c15,748$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,825.142,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Under80c13,267$10,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,691.8417949.2%88 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over22c10,373$2,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,258.6427735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over22c7,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.9744047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over22c6,557$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.361,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Over22c5,462$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.656836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Over22c5,379$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.373762.2%23 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+33.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb372…4048backed Under79c5,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0506100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+431.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Under78c4,558$3,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.1514852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Under76c3,247$2,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.9294134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Over24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72048440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over21c3,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6309341.9%39 W · 54 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1090…3ad3backed Under79c2,533$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.7511243.8%49 W · 63 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed Under79c2,500$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52521154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Over22c2,500$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.981,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over23c2,224$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.396440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x25a4…2694backed Under77c2,122$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.455263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Under77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.997652.6%40 W · 36 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-22.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Under77c1,980$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.449549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Over21c1,944$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.0414732%47 W · 100 L-13.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Under78c1,912$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.166342.9%27 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Under77c1,736$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.0939749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Over24c1,720$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.437641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked Under73c1,676$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.3528655.9%160 W · 126 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8da…a6e6backed Over23c1,571$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.3312839.8%51 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8bd…463dbacked Under75c1,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3754450%22 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Under78c1,402$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.7417838.8%69 W · 109 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Over21c1,310$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.9412450%62 W · 62 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2b…8fe6backed Over24c1,217$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over26c1,125$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.8124642.3%104 W · 142 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee21…e2febacked Under78c1,064$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.084949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3c1…4a10backed Over25c1,003$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.0340%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24029240.1%117 W · 175 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4894…a083backed Under77c982.97$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.914264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6b2…4951backed Under77c967.89$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.872867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed Under78c941.78$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.037052.9%37 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ba…ee0ebacked Under78c900$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1985662.5%35 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Over11c870.32$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.55955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+75.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over21c870$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.710521%22 W · 83 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Over25c812.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014935.6%53 W · 96 L-12.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x534b…983fbacked Under76c800$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.0542835%150 W · 278 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Over24c741.47$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.951,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Over21c733.34$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15413946%64 W · 75 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x042b…bbf1backed Under78c728.55$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.1412055%66 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Over32c708$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.243429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9de2…c042backed Under76c700.63$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.33966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under78c700$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1546460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dc8…6abbbacked Under76c695.07$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.073174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x23b2…ce61backed Under78c695.05$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.452560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73e8…7921backed Under79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.915667.9%38 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1287…555bbacked Under79c630$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.31457.1%8 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick74cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0865…81d3backed Under79c600$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1293154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Over27c576.82$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6818742.8%80 W · 107 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over20c567.6$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.371,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Over20c521$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.223832.4%77 W · 161 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Over22c512.94$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5514545.5%66 W · 79 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb72…b4debacked Under78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.821471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24cb…8a13backed Under79c510$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over23c505.31$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4286144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafda…0fccbacked Under70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15016654.8%91 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Over21c497.95$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5715829.1%46 W · 112 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5cee…22ffbacked Under78c476.96$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.992751.9%14 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+122%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over24c463.51$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9132941%135 W · 194 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed Over29c435$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.58835.2%31 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f13…79e9backed Under79c407.8$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.641478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e96…61dfbacked Under79c400.77$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.161978.9%15 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.21per pick58cpaid+54.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Under78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8830139.5%119 W · 182 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6916…7345backed Under77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9219541%80 W · 115 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2b…effbbacked Over22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x223f…a7bdbacked Under78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888833%29 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under76c392$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0826940.5%109 W · 160 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf9d…f08fbacked Under79c388.56$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.61361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Under79c380.6$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.636752%191 W · 176 L-18.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Over20c368.1$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6242735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under80c366.47$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.731153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6643…9716backed Under79c353.71$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Over28c351.87$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.466331.7%20 W · 43 L-9.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xee57…b2b6backed Under78c349.49$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.898535.3%30 W · 55 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x349f…afb2backed Under79c348.44$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c6f…7963backed Under79c345.94$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x347d…0b64backed Under78c343.36$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.542944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x708f…6a54backed Under79c341.49$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee9a…28f6backed Under79c341.18$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafee…0facbacked Under79c340.76$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c4…6f4ebacked Under75c336$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8424453.3%130 W · 114 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e40…4bfabacked Under79c332.67$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over19c328.69$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2730731.6%97 W · 210 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbd7…7475backed Under79c310.03$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x465b…41c3backed Under73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8112347.2%58 W · 65 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9560…9467backed Under75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7520454.9%112 W · 92 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a05…43e2backed Under77c289.99$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.71181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick74cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Under75c278.15$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3574462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Over23c271.76$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.852020%4 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-55.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over21c270.12$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.737736.4%28 W · 49 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18e0…0586backed Under75c267.74$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6912362.6%77 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75c2…e8c7backed Under78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.415653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3118…e683backed Under79c254.32$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.41475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d8…19e6backed Over8c247.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.212821.4%6 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa43…5acebacked Under79c241.42$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.42850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.