Lol · resolved market
First Blood in Game 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe757bb2633591b82e487e9df783bb50e813b1c0cf42c4f57fd29324afbd319df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gen.Gof Gen.G, LYON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,783 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed LYON | 34c | 1,346$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.79 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked LYON | 36c | 467.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 148 | 35.1%52 W · 96 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…c112backed Gen.G | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e1…d17abacked Gen.G | 64c | 379.66$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.68 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Gen.G | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed LYON | 44c | 226.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Gen.G | 63c | 167.57$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked LYON | 33c | 167.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…1b06backed Gen.G | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…a3abbacked Gen.G | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e06…40c9backed Gen.G | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2570…f09ebacked Gen.G | 60c | 79.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed LYON | 39c | 77.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5a…af45backed Gen.G | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed LYON | 35c | 62.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Gen.G | 68c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd8…e076backed Gen.G | 67c | 59.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…173ebacked Gen.G | 64c | 57.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Gen.G | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +6.9wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Gen.G | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…2fb8backed Gen.G | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…0426backed Gen.G | 66c | 45.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Gen.G | 67c | 32.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e15…1004backed Gen.G | 65c | 30.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked LYON | 35c | 29.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e2…68f1backed Gen.G | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 212 | 56.1%119 W · 93 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- First Blood in Game 3?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Gen.G won
- First Blood in Game 2?Gen.G won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)Gen.G won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)Gen.G won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - First Stand Group BGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerGen.G won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 3?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.