Token Launches · resolved market
Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcefb82274624ef19307f9dcfeb7129a43f79c27276d07a802f966eba852bbd5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $638,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $768,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $638,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f9c…34d9backed Yes | 71c | 72,633$51,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,695 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 1c | 33,999$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.99 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 32c | 15,467$4,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,570.4 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed Yes | 67c | 14,999$10,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,094.97 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed No | 24c | 13,807$3,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,493.68 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…7c9fbacked No | 69c | 11,151$7,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,402.21 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 4c | 10,435$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.1 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…0926backed No | 41c | 10,262$4,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,048.16 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…0ab3backed Yes | 1c | 9,859$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…4cdabacked Yes | 1c | 9,048$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81d9…60f1backed No | 58c | 6,970$4,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.78 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 32c | 6,384$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,353.89 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7d…e7c9backed Yes | 46c | 6,197$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,863.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 80c | 6,022$4,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…772cbacked Yes | 9c | 5,890$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48da…0419backed No | 38c | 5,560$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,454.79 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…6feebacked No | 42c | 5,391$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.84 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 67c | 5,329$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…f152backed No | 46c | 5,273$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +138%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4c…de5bbacked No | 32c | 5,000$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.27 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839d…778bbacked No | 78c | 4,987$3,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…3d06backed Yes | 7c | 4,918$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.3 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14da…ae2dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,860$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edd…150abacked Yes | 1c | 4,813$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 14c | 4,500$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No | 49c | 4,347$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.01 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc5…484dbacked Yes | 67c | 4,117$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c3…1a89backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…a3d6backed No | 80c | 3,985$3,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.83 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 27c | 3,800$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 62c | 3,020$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.8 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e81…5d10backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 51c | 2,965$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.85 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…d501backed No | 35c | 2,817$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.46 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked No | 25c | 2,800$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d28…2ae7backed No | 72c | 2,772$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cc…0aaebacked Yes | 4c | 2,739$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Yes | 74c | 2,624$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.52 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…f586backed Yes | 53c | 2,611$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.8 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed No | 30c | 2,600$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.99 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04cd…5f4bbacked Yes | 58c | 2,582$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07fd…48fbbacked Yes | 67c | 2,500$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.94 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -69%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0503…db3dbacked Yes | 70c | 2,500$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.53 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 2,489$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked No | 35c | 2,100$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8456…01abbacked No | 35c | 2,025$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.3 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 29c | 2,016$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.04 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x45f4…631dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.99 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…b350backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -58%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 1,891$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691c…e0aabacked No | 32c | 1,886$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.28 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…81cfbacked Yes | 45c | 1,840$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.4 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…f560backed No | 56c | 1,828$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.26 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…85c9backed No | 56c | 1,787$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.65 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +7.3wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes | 63c | 1,772$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…97bdbacked No | 58c | 1,736$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…abafbacked Yes | 3c | 1,679$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb24e…c0bebacked Yes | 68c | 1,669$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.2 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…f4c8backed No | 54c | 1,605$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.65 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaf…2833backed Yes | 4c | 1,585$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe224…1f5bbacked No | 31c | 1,574$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 112 | 2.7%3 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…6a0cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,434$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.91 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 3c | 1,373$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…a3adbacked Yes | 4c | 1,300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…6979backed No | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,300$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 60 | 1.7%1 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 75c | 1,243$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.21 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacf0…c5c4backed Yes | 1c | 1,229$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 44c | 1,217$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.39 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 54c | 1,209$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.29 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…bb48backed Yes | 3c | 1,156$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed Yes | 71c | 1,149$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.44 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 67c | 1,120$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.06 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x773b…a9a8backed No | 56c | 1,117$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 36c | 1,100$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.5 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 4c | 1,100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec3…7fd2backed Yes | 48c | 1,048$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe62a…742cbacked No | 50c | 1,047$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7153…f2f5backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22a…cb02backed No | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e3…f804backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cb…76fcbacked Yes | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…8769backed No | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x416a…7e7bbacked Yes | 47c | 979.98$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 30c | 950$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…77fcbacked No | 55c | 913.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.06 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 21c | 902.65$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.1 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -82%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 52c | 899.81$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.39 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…c654backed No | 26c | 888$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed No | 57c | 884.17$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.17 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…f4a7backed Yes | 59c | 850$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 2c | 848.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…8193backed No | 56c | 819.95$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.51 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeadf…ff10backed No | 54c | 809.13$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x822e…5febbacked No | 41c | 806.22$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.22 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed Yes | 9c | 799.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?this page
- Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Yes won
- Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Yes won
- Over $1B committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $200M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $400M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $600M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $800M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.