TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Token Launches · resolved market

Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$638,200
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$768,527

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $638,200 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f9c…34d9backed Yes71c72,633$51,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,6952634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed Yes1c33,999$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.996217.7%11 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2048…f572backed No32c15,467$4,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,570.49046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x197c…9b94backed Yes67c14,999$10,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,094.9713023.8%31 W · 99 L-0.6wins0.00per pick24cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed No24c13,807$3,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,493.681643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4a…7c9fbacked No69c11,151$7,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,402.212339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-29%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes4c10,435$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.16116.4%10 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+95.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5c4…0926backed No41c10,262$4,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,048.162653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd03…0ab3backed Yes1c9,859$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa408…4cdabacked Yes1c9,048$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81d9…60f1backed No58c6,970$4,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,892.781283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+86.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdc76…7842backed No32c6,384$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,353.895135.3%18 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd7d…e7c9backed Yes46c6,197$2,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,863.82825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf2…a469backed No80c6,022$4,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2164032.5%13 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2ff…772cbacked Yes9c5,890$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5174030%12 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48da…0419backed No38c5,560$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,454.791968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+46.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xbbd1…6feebacked No42c5,391$2,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,126.845448.1%26 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick35cpaid+14%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d9f…9790backed Yes67c5,329$3,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,560.35825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8525…f152backed No46c5,273$2,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,848.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+138%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e4c…de5bbacked No32c5,000$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,419.272828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed Yes4c5,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1807231.9%23 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x839d…778bbacked No78c4,987$3,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-57.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdef0…3d06backed Yes7c4,918$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.32420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-67.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14da…ae2dbacked Yes1c4,860$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9edd…150abacked Yes1c4,813$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.75911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-80.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Yes14c4,500$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6214847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No49c4,347$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.014763.8%30 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+48.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x8fc5…484dbacked Yes67c4,117$2,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,777.44616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c3…1a89backed Yes1c4,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…a3d6backed No80c3,985$3,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.834257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf629…bda0backed No27c3,800$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7749442.6%40 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93b7…7d51backed No62c3,020$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.820551.2%105 W · 100 L+13.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e81…5d10backed Yes1c3,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362611.5%3 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked No51c2,965$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.8515539.4%61 W · 94 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d61…d501backed No35c2,817$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.462619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-67%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4da5…e32ebacked No25c2,800$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1001376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+84.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d28…2ae7backed No72c2,772$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.891250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cc…0aaebacked Yes4c2,739$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bdf…64c3backed Yes74c2,624$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.521526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-60.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4745…f586backed Yes53c2,611$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.82317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc3…73d1backed No30c2,600$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.9910340.8%42 W · 61 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04cd…5f4bbacked Yes58c2,582$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.34714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick47cpaid-79.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x07fd…48fbbacked Yes67c2,500$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.941020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-69%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0503…db3dbacked Yes70c2,500$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.534219%8 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes2c2,489$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.633283%10 W · 318 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bfe…ab8dbacked No35c2,100$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.611060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c2,100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187663.3%25 W · 741 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-75.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8456…01abbacked No35c2,025$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.32441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No29c2,016$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.0410462.5%65 W · 39 L+13.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x45f4…631dbacked Yes1c2,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163823.7%9 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked No25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.9913131.3%41 W · 90 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+164.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4fe…b350backed Yes31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6203215.6%5 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-58%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes3c1,891$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.582541.6%4 W · 250 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x691c…e0aabacked No32c1,886$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.283125.8%8 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3252…81cfbacked Yes45c1,840$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.43732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f8…f560backed No56c1,828$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.262142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc60…85c9backed No56c1,787$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.653268.8%22 W · 10 L+7.3wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+96.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes63c1,772$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1241968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b1…97bdbacked No58c1,736$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.83728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16c0…abafbacked Yes3c1,679$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb24e…c0bebacked Yes68c1,669$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.23938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf674…f4c8backed No54c1,605$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.653444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbaf…2833backed Yes4c1,585$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602512%3 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe224…1f5bbacked No31c1,574$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes3c1,500$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.091122.7%3 W · 109 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-65.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7402…6a0cbacked Yes34c1,434$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.917439.2%29 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes3c1,373$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.811190.8%1 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick5cpaid-85.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ec…a3adbacked Yes4c1,300$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+57.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df0…6979backed No47c1,300$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6893444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes4c1,300$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1601.7%1 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-72.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad23…47c4backed No75c1,243$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.2110763.6%68 W · 39 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xacf0…c5c4backed Yes1c1,229$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.294037.5%15 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes44c1,217$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.396431.3%20 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes54c1,209$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.2919336.3%70 W · 123 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x148e…bb48backed Yes3c1,156$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.32119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-84.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd297…2919backed Yes71c1,149$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.449550.5%48 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ee…9597backed No67c1,120$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.0616247.5%77 W · 85 L+13.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x773b…a9a8backed No56c1,117$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.87862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes36c1,100$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.516740.7%68 W · 99 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcef…7388backed Yes4c1,100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2452.2%1 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-60.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec3…7fd2backed Yes48c1,048$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe62a…742cbacked No50c1,047$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+95.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7153…f2f5backed Yes3c1,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.41020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-53%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa22a…cb02backed No24c1,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7601136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3e3…f804backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7cb…76fcbacked Yes6c999.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bac…8769backed No52c999.98$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.991361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+39.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x416a…7e7bbacked Yes47c979.98$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.59633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+89.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc456…8996backed No30c950$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66319543.1%84 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee1…77fcbacked No55c913.06$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.063625%9 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes21c902.65$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1618.2%5 W · 56 L-7.7wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-82%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No52c899.81$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.3910756.1%60 W · 47 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe94b…c654backed No26c888$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.12650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+116.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaab…e6f2backed No57c884.17$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.174744.7%21 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e67…f4a7backed Yes59c850$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.51936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7257…fc40backed Yes2c848.54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3565…8193backed No56c819.95$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.512934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeadf…ff10backed No54c809.13$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x822e…5febbacked No41c806.22$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.226344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed Yes9c799.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7611225.9%29 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.