TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Nigeria vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,690
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,791

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,690 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No12c32,959$3,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,847.913,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3608…b13dbacked Yes32c15,547$4,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,571.733036.7%11 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+46.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No56c12,999$7,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,265.2435942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c11,539$7,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,112.844,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd661…6e34backed Yes34c10,409$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,909.161030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Yes44c5,746$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,245.53560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+54.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No66c5,330$3,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,517.912451.6%64 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No7c5,108$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.2576048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes42c4,450$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,567.1329343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes32c3,309$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.021,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes32c2,834$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.386240.3%25 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No68c2,200$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49621444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes32c2,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3601040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb28d…83e4backed Yes31c2,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3803100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+113.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9178…534ebacked No68c1,732$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes33c1,654$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.1830031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No11c1,591$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0116833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes31c1,500$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03522421%47 W · 177 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No44c1,273$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.6745039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No15c944.45$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14534630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes48c937.5$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.55158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes31c920.97$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.472729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c12…8e4fbacked No69c900$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes33c857.64$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.625334%18 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No68c837$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.1617338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes36c782.97$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.12733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2564…6619backed Yes33c757.58$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ef8…1583backed Yes33c757.58$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.584841.7%20 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick28cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb345…90d7backed Yes33c757.58$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.581723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes33c722.82$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.295230.8%16 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Yes31c710$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.74134.1%14 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+30.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No63c706.74$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.91,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Yes33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.063053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes32c556$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.084353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes75c550.07$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0917851.1%91 W · 87 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No68c511$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.155040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No13c444.69$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.275032%16 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Yes70c415.71$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.71944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No29c389.19$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9716841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Yes53c378.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.831225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-52.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4447…18c0backed No69c354.39$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fc3…d3e6backed No69c352.71$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb20f…db44backed Yes32c350.6$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60e…b1f1backed Yes32c346.49$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes33c335.92$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.621127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes33c335.24$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.613737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e3…ec94backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Yes32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No68c299.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.993339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-34.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No38c273.83$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.269845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.271464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick39cpaid+60.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c5e…7952backed Yes74c268.89$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.89650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+126.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Yes33c258.24$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.02850%4 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+87.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6a5…fda8backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.56742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes32c218.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.75850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab3…d6e9backed Yes78c217.83$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.95757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeee4…1cefbacked Yes50c203.13$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.132133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked No33c202.42$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.422425%6 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-50.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes33c201.39$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.937058.6%41 W · 29 L+9.3wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Yes33c201.15$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.772231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x066f…4553backed Yes65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No68c200$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1366958%40 W · 29 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes31c199.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13867354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No68c185.75$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3114537.2%54 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No71c184$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.647034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcad0…d752backed No63c182$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed No19c176.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334240.5%17 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed No30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-75.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2513843.5%60 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a4…72adbacked Yes73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.56578.5%51 W · 14 L+8.7wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf736…1406backed Yes54c149.97$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ca…e25abacked Yes77c149$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ab1…02e9backed Yes80c143.9$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7003…684bbacked Yes38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.584136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6298…4deabacked Yes72c124.18$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes33c121.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.211338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes31c112$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.281520%3 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8d…7b39backed Yes46c109.87$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes33c106.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.062458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No12c105.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.64,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa963…e9adbacked No67c104.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6911552.2%60 W · 55 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9380…a275backed Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6815128.5%43 W · 108 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdab9…d23dbacked Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7329…d562backed Yes72c99.98$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed No59c99.39$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.644247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2316…b824backed Yes31c96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.24333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Yes71c90.85$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.355343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes58c90$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.78836.4%32 W · 56 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x543c…edabbacked Yes80c90$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes32c89.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Yes33c80$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.613955.4%77 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89fc…8d1bbacked No14c79.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.77119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-79.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked No68c79.01$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.739463.8%60 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes32c78.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.136460.9%39 W · 25 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+42.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No68c75.78$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.544264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc48…2427backed Yes33c75.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3374…642bbacked Yes32c74.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.683644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.