Fifa International · resolved market
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ab86a50a92284efd87fe1d78ffa4051da4e5052bfc6a51f55f296505cfd0f6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,202,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,211,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,202,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 569 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9735…09d0backed Yes | 0c | 81,000$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Yes | 0c | 80,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes | 26c | 78,804$20,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,300 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 78,598$58,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,782.64 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 75,765$58,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,558.64 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 75c | 46,120$34,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,551.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 44,107$11,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,428.86 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 43,121$32,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,944.15 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 0c | 36,100$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3722…55bebacked Yes | 0c | 31,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 76c | 30,715$23,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,446.39 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd778…0ca4backed Yes | 0c | 25,937$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…c57fbacked Yes | 1c | 21,253$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 0c | 20,747$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2377…1481backed Yes | 0c | 20,577$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 25c | 20,500$5,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,125 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc6…b241backed Yes | 0c | 20,317$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d2…a325backed Yes | 0c | 20,100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…abcdbacked Yes | 25c | 20,007$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7de…c49fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x291e…4b6abacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…6e34backed Yes | 25c | 18,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 80c | 16,329$13,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320.56 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 16,119$12,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,068.61 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…ab30backed Yes | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Yes | 24c | 12,163$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,945.05 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…0db6backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255c…7efebacked Yes | 0c | 10,126$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3076…0e4abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1b…63f9backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1baa…173dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 8,143$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.81 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb28d…83e4backed No | 75c | 8,042$6,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 75c | 6,652$4,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.04 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d8…c970backed Yes | 3c | 6,379$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 75c | 6,361$4,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.99 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5e…7952backed Yes | 0c | 6,125$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +126.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 25c | 6,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…236cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,518$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf126…8872backed Yes | 0c | 5,060$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…8a05backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.98 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 24c | 5,000$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.95 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 4,896$3,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.24 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c31…e194backed Yes | 2c | 4,404$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 21c | 4,051$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.69 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked No | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes | 2c | 3,921$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 24c | 3,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 24c | 3,317$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 24c | 3,100$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.97 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 0c | 3,051$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 26c | 2,763$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.42 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…38e2backed Yes | 26c | 2,568$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bb…fef3backed Yes | 17c | 2,410$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 21c | 2,324$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.28 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…956ebacked Yes | 28c | 2,259$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…f5dcbacked Yes | 2c | 2,196$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…699abacked Yes | 25c | 2,157$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.64 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 23c | 2,127$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524b…a34dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,102$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…3564backed Yes | 1c | 2,077$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Yes | 25c | 2,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 25c | 1,966$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.2 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 78c | 1,937$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.87 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,876$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.67 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa6…c301backed Yes | 24c | 1,857$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed No | 76c | 1,800$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Yes | 24c | 1,567$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…d143backed Yes | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 27c | 1,484$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 24c | 1,425$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 75c | 1,419$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.18 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.99 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 75c | 1,368$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…77d5backed Yes | 7c | 1,357$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 26c | 1,339$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.02 | 162 | 25.3%41 W · 121 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf6…3dd0backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…26d6backed Yes | 24c | 1,305$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.23 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 75c | 1,300$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Yes | 25c | 1,292$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 25c | 1,275$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.77 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…0b7dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,255$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.53 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -13.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…6136backed Yes | 5c | 1,248$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 25c | 1,216$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.79 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…b8c8backed Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…2b47backed Yes | 4c | 1,184$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f3…571cbacked Yes | 22c | 1,154$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…dd18backed Yes | 15c | 1,130$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb642…ad9abacked Yes | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?this page
- Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14?No won
- Will Nigeria vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.