TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,620 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes74c23,530$17,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,029.722853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes69c10,000$6,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,104.884037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No26c8,133$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,153.3638247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes75c6,627$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.851275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c5,823$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.182,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Yes57c4,756$2,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0423148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No43c4,444$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.921330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No16c4,365$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.4552243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No28c3,915$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.415536.4%20 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes72c2,991$2,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.5255545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No26c2,877$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.022138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No18c2,603$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.9677141.8%322 W · 449 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No21c2,374$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.653,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No24c2,261$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.282050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No25c1,686$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.522958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No27c1,467$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.7644952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Yes76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.792552%13 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes68c1,095$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.072646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked No25c1,075$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.392425%6 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No26c1,027$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.5831849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No25c999.98$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.998345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes77c999.54$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.123450%17 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.333050%15 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Yes70c711.94$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.94757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4c…bc84backed Yes73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.931136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.30per pick67cpaid-47.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes71c639.06$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.511,02647.4%486 W · 540 L-3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes70c625.32$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No18c595$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.218023.8%19 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No26c565.38$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14712955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No30c565.18$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.9421835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes75c539.78$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.9435158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes70c468.38$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.712545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6094…32fcbacked Yes73c467.12$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.12366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No5c434.27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7163957.1%365 W · 274 L+35.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No29c380.28$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.253240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes70c334$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3688048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd43b…5913backed Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.87425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Yes71c309.1$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.81361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked No26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed No28c278.91$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.383351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba34…9fd1backed Yes73c258.82$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251520%3 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-55%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes70c249.17$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.751,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Yes73c246.58$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.582045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed No30c238.27$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.243956.4%22 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No12c225.83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.178544.8%352 W · 433 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Yes65c201.56$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.55728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba6c…5cb6backed Yes61c196.97$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.82862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked No26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes68c192.24$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.521435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No25c180$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4519546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No25c177$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2518049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8123…268cbacked No35c171.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a7a…7c83backed No30c165.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f4d…398dbacked No26c156.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No29c155.1$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4525157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes72c155.02$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.416639.4%26 W · 40 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6024049.2%118 W · 122 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63d0…1a1abacked Yes72c149.67$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes71c143.72$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6874155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No25c143.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.854553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Yes70c141$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.081764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No25c140.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0912934.9%45 W · 84 L-20.4wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-42%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.999257.6%53 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cf7…6d4bbacked No29c136$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x835e…126cbacked No28c133$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.584858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No29c131$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7111562.6%72 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No25c130$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.141,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fb4…4518backed No29c123$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6366…8c41backed Yes73c116.62$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.49757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013046.9%61 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67fc…722bbacked Yes71c107.08$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No25c107$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.756347.6%30 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Yes75c106.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.673145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc30…becfbacked No28c106$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed No41c102.44$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed No26c102.12$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.629048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ca…a82ebacked No29c102$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd69c…b714backed No29c101$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Yes72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x850b…5493backed Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick65cpaid-46.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed No26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2511242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc2…1456backed No28c98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8285…73eebacked No28c97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed No16c95.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.267848.7%38 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes69c95.2$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8210761.7%66 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes70c92$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.631842.1%134 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes67c91.04$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1311749.6%58 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe051…9ec5backed Yes73c86.1$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.351050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+110.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes73c82.07$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1617249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No28c80.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.58862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.245135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81b0…6592backed Yes70c76$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…63f3backed No26c74.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.