Fifa International · resolved market
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x807154f7609db2c7585d9e1325b383721e923a6e199c6bdbdf3d8a9698db9029
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 32c | 6,707$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.95 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 71c | 4,960$3,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.55 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 30c | 2,789$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.94 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 27c | 2,646$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.77 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 71c | 2,391$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.14 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 74c | 1,950$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.01 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 67c | 1,501$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.57 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 64c | 1,199$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.03 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 74c | 1,004$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.71 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 27c | 986.75$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.13 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 32c | 884.1$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.14 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 64c | 781.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 32c | 732.76$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.65 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ca…8f0dbacked Over | 71c | 717.09$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.03 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 72c | 654.12$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.03 | 469 | 39.4%185 W · 284 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Over | 64c | 554.27$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.54 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 28c | 525.25$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.71 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ca14backed Over | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 33c | 469.98$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.59 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 76c | 418.87$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.01 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 78c | 413.86$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 33c | 412.95$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.24 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 64c | 364.48$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.21 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 31c | 357$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 31c | 287.86$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Over | 70c | 285.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.73 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…3c18backed Over | 71c | 253.19$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…8ecebacked Over | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 67c | 239.13$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.14 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdc…f776backed Under | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 20c | 195.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 33c | 172.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…0d44backed Over | 64c | 170$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 105 | 63.8%67 W · 38 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 30c | 151$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 32c | 143$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 31c | 131.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 22c | 130$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 11c | 126.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa968…3f0fbacked Under | 23c | 97.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 31c | 91.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Under | 32c | 83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 32c | 73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…8275backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 133 | 64.7%86 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 70c | 71.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 72c | 60.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Over | 69c | 57.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 35c | 53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…fd15backed Under | 39c | 51.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 36c | 48.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 32c | 44.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 305 | 47.2%144 W · 161 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…432bbacked Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…5805backed Over | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Under | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…7ba1backed Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 180 | 36.1%65 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 73c | 34.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…7807backed Over | 73c | 33.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 69c | 32.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fe…cad2backed Over | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd369…9b9bbacked Over | 64c | 29.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f4…6137backed Over | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb339…5844backed Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…287dbacked Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…4c78backed Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Team to Take First CornerTürkiye won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.