Fifa International · resolved market
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x095b837904067567a15ebfff139f529f1dbd3a85b53080a576b0312a7c9a31d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 19c | 3,468$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.92 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 18c | 2,064$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.26 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 18c | 1,528$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.74 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 21c | 1,388$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.58 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Under | 3c | 1,002$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 469 | 39.4%185 W · 284 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 17c | 959.14$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.27 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 15c | 437$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 2c | 408.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Under | 5c | 333$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…f868backed Over | 77c | 310$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 5c | 307.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Under | 8c | 288.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 211 | 28%59 W · 152 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 79c | 280.92$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 19c | 228.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 21c | 212.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…184abacked Over | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 20c | 199.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…08a6backed Under | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 252 | 21.4%54 W · 198 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…0818backed Under | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 18c | 102.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…a47fbacked Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Over | 77c | 61.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 80c | 54.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 21c | 48.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…ad6bbacked Over | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb2…996cbacked Over | 77c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Team to Take First CornerTürkiye won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.