TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,340
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,340 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Under40c622.54$250 inLost-$250.38,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under37c459.2$170 inLost-$169.976551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over58c450$262 inWon+$188.51,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x502c…728fbacked Over66c447.96$294 inWon+$154.2510250%51 W · 51 L-9.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under34c366.38$124 inLost-$124.293,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ca…8f0dbacked Over68c348.92$236 inWon+$112.9212635.7%45 W · 81 L-11.5wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under32c280.92$90 inLost-$89.91,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Under41c275.61$113 inLost-$1131450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under36c225.86$81 inLost-$81.3136448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Under43c214.1$93 inLost-$933345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over58c189.07$110 inWon+$78.9577845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Over66c90.77$60 inWon+$30.8639752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x361a…ea72backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon+$25.764454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Over58c68.39$40 inWon+$28.3823858%138 W · 100 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Over58c68.39$40 inWon+$28.3843460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Over58c45$26 inWon+$18.8545254.6%247 W · 205 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over68c44.26$30 inWon+$14.2611748.7%57 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…ac8ebacked Over60c41.39$25 inWon+$16.397236.1%26 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x956b…7eb1backed Over64c39.15$25 inWon+$14.159659.4%57 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbe…7ba1backed Over67c29.85$20 inWon+$9.8518036.1%65 W · 115 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked Over58c25.1$15 inWon+$10.5820553.7%110 W · 95 L+21.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over57c25$14 inWon+$10.752,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Over58c21.02$12 inWon+$8.837354.8%40 W · 33 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+29.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.