Fifa International · resolved market
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 5.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x804c29bd54b0156ecbdc3c99637310123d4998ff5056d9132249c062d2324f8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 0c | 5,166$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Under | 51c | 4,174$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.28 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 49c | 3,156$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.52 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 50c | 398.49$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.25 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 235$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 54c | 230.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 222.37$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Over | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 50c | 169.32$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 53c | 151.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 56c | 69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db1…d2bebacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 52c | 40.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 51c | 38.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 51c | 38.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…ea72backed Over | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 53c | 35.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…2f76backed Over | 50c | 32.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…80b2backed Over | 46c | 24.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 147 | 39.5%58 W · 89 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Over | 44c | 24.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Over | 49c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under | 52c | 21.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Team to Take First CornerTürkiye won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.