Fifa International · resolved market
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa70fe9df0be74e350f2dadacca6f73926b10fe803bdf2dd2e2c46abfbf9492f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Under | 40c | 5,081$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.44 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…abf6backed Over | 59c | 2,645$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 61c | 2,406$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.44 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…2378backed Over | 59c | 2,246$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.86 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…2e52backed Over | 60c | 1,673$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.16 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…55e5backed Under | 41c | 979.96$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.78 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 40c | 708.71$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.48 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 40c | 654$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.6 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 42c | 618.81$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.9 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Over | 61c | 596.94$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.81 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 491.57$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.03 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…dec4backed Over | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 37c | 353.88$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.63 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 42c | 327.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 42c | 319.35$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.66 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 42c | 314.24$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.68 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 41c | 299.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Over | 61c | 295.08$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Over | 58c | 280$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 44c | 245.56$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.05 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 41c | 236.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 40c | 186.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 324 | 44.1%143 W · 181 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…01f8backed Over | 58c | 173.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Over | 60c | 156.32$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 56c | 124.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 73c | 81.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…2022backed Under | 42c | 73.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…79c3backed Under | 42c | 59.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 44c | 52.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…62aebacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…1a30backed Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 42c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 58c | 45.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Over | 60c | 41.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…5805backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf37e…2709backed Over | 74c | 33.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…8275backed Over | 61c | 28.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 133 | 64.7%86 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Over | 60c | 27.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e2…2964backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 60c | 22.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ee…6917backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 133 | 65.4%87 W · 46 L | +13.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Team to Take First CornerTürkiye won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.