TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$304,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$330,533

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,365 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No22c50,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,00031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No48c38,803$18,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,610.86,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes76c27,921$21,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,807.1527750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes32c25,890$8,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,6431,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes15c13,999$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,899.1510737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No33c11,320$3,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,702.971,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes32c8,263$2,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,654.731,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked No69c7,859$5,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,442.082839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No17c6,057$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.414,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes31c6,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,139.9819729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No69c6,000$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,139.9338649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes19c4,250$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4504134.1%14 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes31c4,100$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,828.8968026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes21c3,104$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.3223741.8%99 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No68c2,972$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,023.521,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes35c2,578$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.4841437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd95…3ebfbacked Yes31c2,555$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.821428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes44c2,526$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.912,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No42c2,376$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.081,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes10c2,360$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,121.8219826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c2,150$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.072,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes23c1,900$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4604847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes24c1,827$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38751542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes78c1,821$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.041,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes32c1,539$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.115841.4%24 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No69c1,500$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0351,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Yes75c1,361$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.8429253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d1…0c60backed No75c1,278$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.21580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b2…ea62backed Yes12c1,023$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.988343.4%36 W · 47 L+11.6wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+73%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69014943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No65c928.61$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.61,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No69c883.46$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.141,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No71c800$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56853134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No69c799.99$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.9940953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No68c799.93$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.9621656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No69c772.58$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.0825752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb39d…b695backed Yes13c769.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.232147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+145.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No67c748.42$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.4446551.8%241 W · 224 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eca…969abacked Yes30c730.7$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No69c724.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd8f…20abbacked No70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfe4…5c4fbacked No69c700$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4832245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes29c699.99$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.9917833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9792…9212backed Yes31c670$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.751442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No69c614.75$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.9158445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bfe…ab8dbacked No69c600$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4141233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed No29c551$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.79287.1%2 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.24per pick31cpaid-73.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked Yes30c545$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes24c536.87$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.8713842%58 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes11c514$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.5832822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed No70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503941%16 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No26c481.44$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1957744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes32c470.28$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.792748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No67c438.32$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.3225551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes21c435$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.6467042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010768.2%73 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes29c410.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.5761441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No22c408.72$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.813249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea68…ff92backed No71c402.07$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.472842.9%12 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-31.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee04…9612backed Yes13c400$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3482250%11 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+51.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes31c399.93$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.932060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc406…04bebacked Yes31c390$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a0b…c8acbacked Yes31c382$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dd4…ebc4backed Yes31c381$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.891637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No68c367$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5614128.4%40 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No69c359.99$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.3926247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9981…2d71backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.33560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes15c333.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.338845.5%40 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5832736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5815543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bb0…b0dcbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.581250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+43.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd020…06bcbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.583135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.589344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3adf…d8b0backed Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.581233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes30c316.23$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.3620027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.517234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.512252.5%64 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…94e7backed Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.54438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedc…f590backed Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2979…59e5backed Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Yes9c300$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.77440.5%30 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21044036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a5…59e7backed Yes14c300$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2571010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes31c290.32$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.3249544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Yes70c273.59$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.097963.3%50 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes31c261.29$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.2922125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No69c260.87$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18012965.1%84 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaad7…5557backed No21c258.04$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.161540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb93b…454bbacked Yes31c241.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.944259.5%25 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+36.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb392…28a5backed Yes22c234.47$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.954022.5%9 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84e5…2303backed Yes25c229.87$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.648543.5%37 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes31c227$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1311628.4%33 W · 83 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098f…47cdbacked No69c218.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.25259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No69c216.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7336956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No56c216.42$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7430739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b20…75d3backed Yes30c206.05$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+122.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed No18c206.02$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0522534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes23c205.06$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7810341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd87…01a9backed Yes30c199.97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.983330.3%10 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No69c193.45$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.486150.8%31 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.