TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,992
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,093

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,992 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes17c16,627$2,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,821.636,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No78c7,730$6,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.8929253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes30c3,948$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.351,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes21c2,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5254847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No76c2,091$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.062,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked No70c2,035$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.3511846.6%55 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes20c1,906$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.29843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed No71c1,874$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.3915952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes29c1,379$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008736.8%32 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No70c1,179$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.521,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes29c1,100$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31953134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Yes26c1,022$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.48287.1%2 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.24per pick31cpaid-73.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes15c832.18$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.151542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes42c749.99$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9961441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008448.8%41 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes20c629.2$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8423926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d7a…d80abacked Yes24c625$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-70.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07b2…ea62backed Yes22c507.77$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.718343.4%36 W · 47 L+11.6wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+73%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No76c470.32$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.477963.3%50 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Yes5c399.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Yes48c391.1$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.713432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Yes13c246.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5812646.8%59 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes29c241.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010139.6%40 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8fe…3ee3backed Yes15c241$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes28c232.91$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.211,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585038%19 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No76c196.6$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5157744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaad7…5557backed Yes15c188.46$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.581540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes29c175$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.758440.5%34 W · 50 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes30c167.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No72c165.88$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4517153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes28c149.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4223353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No71c148.59$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.091,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No79c139.32$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.811,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8929158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d3…4908backed Yes30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f3b…be48backed No71c129.58$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.58850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No72c115.28$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.287176.1%54 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes18c109.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013842%58 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x522f…79c2backed Yes12c108.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes30c107$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.15922%13 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9981…2d71backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dda…a6e1backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd816…84b9backed Yes29c100.34$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.13842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9024…a444backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2990%0 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2219244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No56c89.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.622764.8%147 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024844.4%110 W · 138 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8784…f1aebacked Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259151.6%47 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes23c82.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198942.7%38 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No75c70$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2782763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes28c69.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4954128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019336.8%71 W · 122 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b8a…0724backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+50.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011446.5%53 W · 61 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No72c67.26$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.838145.7%37 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x711d…4e8dbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208626.7%23 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdeeb…1588backed Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+104.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.24425%11 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes28c55.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5784549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41cc…26eabacked Yes47c54.94$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.82520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e69…b5dabacked No66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x987b…f191backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked No71c49.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.515452.6%81 W · 73 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yes25c48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122544%11 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb64…a57ebacked No72c42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.762864.3%18 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick74cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked No76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x660c…0645backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed No72c39.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.046358.7%37 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed No62c35.41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3117744.1%78 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No80c34.46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.954,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No71c30.17$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.751,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d9f…0852backed No72c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.883372.7%24 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick74cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa242…cd4bbacked No72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef30…f009backed No72c14.58$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid+12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c9…b445backed No78c13.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.912556%14 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.