TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$188,684
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$195,689

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,684 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x768d…d230backed Under0c97,438$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012433.9%42 W · 82 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Under51c19,608$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00011645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00017949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1004537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c6,862$3,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,468.944,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over49c3,481$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.842,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under51c3,375$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.4229232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under58c3,253$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.764,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ef…372cbacked Under51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over49c2,855$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.033,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under55c2,716$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.742,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98da…a9ebbacked Over40c2,367$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.711942.1%8 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick25cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7815650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c1,769$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.9574447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under59c1,617$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.73,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under50c1,402$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.612,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under50c1,165$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.3845038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Over50c1,111$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.514348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over49c1,000$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.5264443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9912…5d4abacked Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.393063.3%19 W · 11 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over46c947.35$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.811,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c828.13$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.68,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbb…352fbacked Over39c769.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.2316441.5%68 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over49c746.98$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.961,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Over40c625.25$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.253360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over50c622.24$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.641,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbeff…e9abbacked Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005747.4%27 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Over49c529.49$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.0714226.8%38 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Over38c515.79$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.7922436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26c1…6de9backed Under58c515$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.71323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.4wins-0.34per pick57cpaid-65.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1418…a265backed Over51c509.86$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.832560%15 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over50c508$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25418742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed Under63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3153345.5%15 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+155.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14bc…3904backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2506637.9%25 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25536838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c491.86$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.0169534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Under51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over46c481.84$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.261,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f4…19f4backed Over44c467.73$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.931291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.27per pick64cpaid+48.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Under50c462.25$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1310042%42 W · 58 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over47c450$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.661,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over45c449.53$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.511,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Over50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21012556.8%71 W · 54 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under55c419.99$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.9916165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfbb…de86backed Under50c402$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce8…e713backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004542.2%19 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under50c399.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7384751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under50c399.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.731,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over37c390.36$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.932,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over50c379.93$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.3270648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbc2…10dcbacked Over44c375$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2104852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over48c358.97$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.542,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under52c353.79$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.32,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15013847.1%65 W · 73 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over49c295.38$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.641,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under51c286.08$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.651,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd56c…bdd5backed Under53c264.15$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over45c218.22$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.028652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c217.84$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.13,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011443.9%50 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x946f…08ebbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011130.6%34 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010133.7%34 W · 67 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd43…7d3dbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007445.9%34 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Over47c197.87$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.877953.2%42 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020841.3%86 W · 122 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7769…89c9backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010539%41 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+41.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over50c196$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9836350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked Under51c195.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.957655.3%42 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c192.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.331,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under52c169.23$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8862452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over49c159.62$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.11,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under56c156.58$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.311,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6e…1256backed Under51c145.59$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.256126.2%16 W · 45 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over50c131.78$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8973234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b61…230ebacked Over38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5815936.5%58 W · 101 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Over38c130$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.613451.5%69 W · 65 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c7…5a76backed Over39c128.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.546068.3%41 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2139648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f2d…0a9fbacked Under51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010443.3%45 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03bc…ad27backed Under50c114$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5715227%41 W · 111 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over49c111.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.063,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over50c109.43$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0692038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f5…9ed6backed Over50c103.15$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.938354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0412451.6%64 W · 60 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94ac…cd94backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4928544.6%127 W · 158 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4518…1cacbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017757.1%101 W · 76 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Over38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6215424.7%38 W · 116 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525743.9%25 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c46…5239backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516031.7%19 W · 41 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over50c99.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5846525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef59…41f6backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502313%3 W · 20 L-6.8wins-0.30per pick43cpaid-66.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over51c97.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3751045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under51c92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.962,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f5…5b18backed Over47c88.04$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.66560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+51.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x961a…e91cbacked Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ed4…3abdbacked Over37c79.24$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.922864.3%18 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Under50c78.84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4214458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under50c78.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0570948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30bc…c428backed Over50c74.58$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.291952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe597…4e73backed Over41c73.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.297759.7%46 W · 31 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.