Fifa International · resolved market
Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x617aba5e9740f7d5edb738386a674d30f4106684c6f1e7cfbd40e2c9e92db1d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 5c | 100,486$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.94 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 12c | 12,122$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.79 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 9,058$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.43 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…8eccbacked No | 30c | 3,400$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +236%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf902…df82backed No | 10c | 2,973$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,614$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.18 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 1,984$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.02 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 11c | 1,600$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c0…22b4backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 15c | 999.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 18c | 833$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.06 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +25.9wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +129%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 12c | 792.78$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 21c | 784.11$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.37 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b82…2291backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Yes | 16c | 750$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2988backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 19c | 500$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 11c | 450$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6898…19d4backed Yes | 18c | 442.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 16c | 440$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 23c | 417.39$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…6edabacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 76c | 180$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 16c | 174$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab63…1551backed Yes | 13c | 139.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…943bbacked Yes | 16c | 109.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cd…0558backed Yes | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 16c | 88.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Yes | 16c | 87.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…f4c5backed Yes | 16c | 82.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…f6dabacked Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898c…e4c3backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a82…bfc6backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e7…c6ccbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…a6b3backed Yes | 25c | 40.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 58.6%92 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Austria vs. Jordan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Austria 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 1.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 2.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 1.5Under won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 2.5Under won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Austria won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Austria (-3.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Jordan (-1.5)Austria won
- Spread: Jordan (-2.5)Austria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.