Tennis · resolved market
Figueira Da Foz: Darja Vidmanova vs Elena Micic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x497f665caee74db76f1f392e852fb834f96889371d04744e8e4949099c7d6235
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Darja Vidmanovaof Darja Vidmanova, Elena Micic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Elena Micic | 13c | 15,791$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Elena Micic | 10c | 2,000$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.72 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Elena Micic | 4c | 1,645$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Elena Micic | 11c | 1,051$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Elena Micic | 10c | 920$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06a…ca30backed Elena Micic | 7c | 773.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Elena Micic | 3c | 701.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Elena Micic | 11c | 487.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Elena Micic | 10c | 308.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…ccffbacked Elena Micic | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Elena Micic | 7c | 282.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8113…22cbbacked Elena Micic | 6c | 279.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Elena Micic | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Elena Micic | 6c | 222.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…5906backed Elena Micic | 9c | 219.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Elena Micic | 12c | 151.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb309…06d4backed Elena Micic | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…29a8backed Elena Micic | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f67…ba88backed Elena Micic | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Elena Micic | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Elena Micic | 12c | 105.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Elena Micic | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Darja Vidmanova | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Elena Micic | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Darja Vidmanova | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 263 | 55.1%145 W · 118 L | +36.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Elena Micic | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.