Tennis · resolved market
Brescia: Xiyu Wang vs Carole Monnet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5742ae2330e03c9af53a92d6f32b6996aa53870d39c0e38daab05be6879e43cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xiyu Wangof Xiyu Wang, Carole Monnet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Carole Monnet | 7c | 26,304$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.84 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Carole Monnet | 9c | 4,403$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.9 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Carole Monnet | 7c | 3,977$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.41 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Carole Monnet | 5c | 1,970$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Carole Monnet | 20c | 1,950$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.25 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Carole Monnet | 10c | 1,644$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.46 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Carole Monnet | 7c | 1,512$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Carole Monnet | 5c | 1,154$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Carole Monnet | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Carole Monnet | 8c | 654.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Carole Monnet | 17c | 487.17$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.64 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db8…9751backed Carole Monnet | 15c | 344.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Carole Monnet | 15c | 321.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Xiyu Wang | 80c | 313$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Xiyu Wang | 80c | 309.76$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Carole Monnet | 16c | 302.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Carole Monnet | 8c | 258.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Carole Monnet | 13c | 233.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Carole Monnet | 6c | 222.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Carole Monnet | 22c | 201.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Carole Monnet | 10c | 165.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Carole Monnet | 17c | 135$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Carole Monnet | 16c | 121.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Carole Monnet | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Carole Monnet | 11c | 119.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Carole Monnet | 14c | 107.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Carole Monnet | 19c | 106$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…bac2backed Carole Monnet | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Carole Monnet | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Carole Monnet | 16c | 81.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Carole Monnet | 14c | 76.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Carole Monnet | 15c | 67.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8113…22cbbacked Carole Monnet | 17c | 62.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Xiyu Wang | 76c | 14.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.