TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Nottingham Open: Ann Li vs Taylah Preston

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ann Liof Ann Li, Taylah Preston
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$351,908
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$407,302

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,908 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Taylah Preston38c27,845$10,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,452.174,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Taylah Preston37c20,193$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50036346.8%170 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Taylah Preston42c15,965$6,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,638.518,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Ann Li69c15,870$10,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,872.13,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Ann Li66c11,873$7,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,040.814,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Ann Li75c8,550$6,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,170.4871729.8%214 W · 503 L-39.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Taylah Preston35c7,463$2,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,585.9756651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Taylah Preston39c7,263$2,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,830.4993740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Taylah Preston44c6,866$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00042131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Ann Li62c6,864$4,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,577.675048%24 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Ann Li66c6,554$4,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,257.934,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Ann Li58c5,338$3,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.0334857.2%199 W · 149 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf402…ce7abacked Ann Li53c5,094$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,394.3416242.6%69 W · 93 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Ann Li61c4,517$2,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.6110751.4%55 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f6…4814backed Taylah Preston36c3,910$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.852040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Ann Li65c3,765$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.588749.4%43 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d99…9675backed Taylah Preston35c3,309$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.5515530.3%47 W · 108 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Taylah Preston62c3,072$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.822,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Ann Li58c3,000$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.9922344.8%100 W · 123 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54a3…9b39backed Ann Li51c2,941$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.1811554.8%63 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fe0…ebe1backed Ann Li50c2,572$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.725641.1%23 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Ann Li51c2,302$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.754541.7%227 W · 318 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ann Li62c2,181$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.028,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Ann Li65c2,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7103,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Ann Li43c1,860$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.4728039.3%110 W · 170 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Ann Li58c1,677$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.4126847.8%128 W · 140 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Ann Li63c1,638$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.613,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ann Li59c1,637$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.4511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ann Li66c1,529$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.474,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…9256backed Taylah Preston35c1,378$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.1525448.4%123 W · 131 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Taylah Preston40c1,228$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49043334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Taylah Preston66c1,166$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.5611048.2%53 W · 57 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Ann Li74c1,074$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.991,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Taylah Preston38c1,053$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40057249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Ann Li51c1,022$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.632,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x097c…5cdebacked Ann Li53c1,019$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.068447.6%40 W · 44 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Ann Li65c1,004$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.5622255.4%123 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Ann Li63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3702,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Ann Li67c895.67$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.6721567.4%145 W · 70 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Ann Li56c885.73$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.731,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Taylah Preston59c859.09$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.064,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Ann Li63c820.6$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.6278152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Ann Li65c800$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28054138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Taylah Preston37c799.99$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29637944.6%169 W · 210 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb45…0cadbacked Ann Li64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2511963.9%76 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Ann Li63c735.36$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.071,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4340…363dbacked Ann Li76c725$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.318445.7%84 W · 100 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Ann Li59c686$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.084,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Ann Li59c663$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.185449.6%424 W · 430 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Taylah Preston36c602.45$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2172,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Taylah Preston11c596.01$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2883823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Ann Li63c590$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.252,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Ann Li61c562.77$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.481,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Taylah Preston46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024631.3%77 W · 169 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Taylah Preston38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027732.5%90 W · 187 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Ann Li58c520$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.480153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Ann Li68c515.5$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.9547651.9%247 W · 229 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Taylah Preston38c513.16$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19553657.8%310 W · 226 L+35.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Taylah Preston38c513.16$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19547857.9%277 W · 201 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Taylah Preston38c513.16$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19549658.1%288 W · 208 L+32.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Taylah Preston38c513.16$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19551457.2%294 W · 220 L+29.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Ann Li68c505$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.3546155.3%255 W · 206 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Ann Li68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16014343.4%62 W · 81 L-14.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Taylah Preston38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19066831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Ann Li68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16044552.8%235 W · 210 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Ann Li68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16043054.9%236 W · 194 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Ann Li58c500$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2124,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Ann Li68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16052355.6%291 W · 232 L+26.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Taylah Preston38c496.61$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7146957.6%270 W · 199 L+32.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Ann Li60c491.67$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.6715261.2%93 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef3a…1eb3backed Ann Li65c490.2$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.5717941.3%74 W · 105 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Ann Li40c478.02$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.0388935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Ann Li63c446.07$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.746,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Ann Li63c417$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.297,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Ann Li66c399.75$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2452557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Ann Li60c397.53$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.015853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2363…a20dbacked Ann Li51c394.12$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.1211028.2%31 W · 79 L-9.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Ann Li60c384.48$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.641,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Taylah Preston50c382.14$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.0747956.6%271 W · 208 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Ann Li41c371.39$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.333,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Ann Li39c358.19$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.1912944.2%57 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Taylah Preston33c358.05$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1665840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e66…bbd2backed Taylah Preston41c355.62$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2411549.6%57 W · 58 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Ann Li63c348.43$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.929,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Taylah Preston34c339.94$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.755,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Ann Li58c335.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.315,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Ann Li80c315.83$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.32742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Ann Li65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.691,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9244…643cbacked Taylah Preston66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008655.8%48 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ann Li58c301.43$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.78,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Taylah Preston26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed Taylah Preston6c299.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185957.6%34 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Ann Li58c295.28$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.621,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Ann Li65c284.09$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4379855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Ann Li66c271.53$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3270456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a8…93b2backed Ann Li60c269.39$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.22343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa461…878abacked Ann Li59c260.82$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7621964.8%142 W · 77 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x885a…8bfdbacked Taylah Preston58c240.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.771942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x215b…5906backed Taylah Preston8c237.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.986124.6%15 W · 46 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Taylah Preston31c235.74$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.285742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.