Fifa International · resolved market
Ghana vs. Panama: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x039080ad251146fb4eb485f360634e0f2e411dee3aaeece51907af714e53c422
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked Yes | 47c | 16,876$7,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,878.73 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 53c | 11,427$6,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,025.63 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 5,462$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.1 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Yes | 47c | 4,128$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.87 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 46c | 3,776$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.77 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked No | 6c | 2,828$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.37 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 2,737$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.55 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 76c | 2,511$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.25 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 53c | 2,000$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.82 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1c…d8b5backed No | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 147 | 34%50 W · 97 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 54c | 2,000$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.32 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 53c | 1,994$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.6 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 2c | 1,860$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…5dcebacked No | 53c | 1,696$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.78 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 53c | 1,586$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.07 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 47c | 1,443$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.95 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 54c | 1,229$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.89 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 36c | 1,199$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.93 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 2c | 1,080$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 52c | 999.96$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.98 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c6…2f32backed Yes | 79c | 938.14$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.62 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed No | 54c | 662.96$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 52c | 638.5$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.02 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 28c | 635.32$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.49 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 10c | 604.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 53c | 602.04$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.08 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 47c | 576.4$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.57 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 47c | 402.32$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.17 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…ba6dbacked Yes | 53c | 377.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.92 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed No | 55c | 321.45$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.8 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 54c | 300.22$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.12 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 48c | 300$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked No | 33c | 300$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked No | 5c | 270.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 45c | 249.96$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.48 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…5d2ebacked Yes | 65c | 246.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 70c | 220.11$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.26 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…9f42backed Yes | 46c | 218.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…d10abacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b5…280cbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 81 | 35.8%29 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe305…ca0fbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…a00bbacked Yes | 47c | 193.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.34 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 46c | 190.28$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Yes | 46c | 189.13$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.13 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca4f…7852backed Yes | 67c | 173.72$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 156$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 26c | 143.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 53c | 139.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb85…3ee2backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…f52cbacked Yes | 79c | 113.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked No | 40c | 109.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked No | 54c | 106$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 67c | 98.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…642fbacked No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…d9febacked Yes | 46c | 78.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…cdf1backed Yes | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 45c | 69.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 15c | 66.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…4647backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f4…2a4dbacked Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8113…22cbbacked Yes | 47c | 57.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf552…4263backed No | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0e…c22fbacked Yes | 46c | 51.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Yes | 77c | 50.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 46c | 49.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 71c | 49.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 53c | 47.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853a…942abacked Yes | 71c | 46.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…130abacked Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa4…c23abacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 46c | 42.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 285 | 45.6%130 W · 155 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…078cbacked No | 55c | 34.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a13…3f00backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed Yes | 47c | 30.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Yes | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9df…2feabacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed No | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…7695backed No | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed No | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 233 | 43.3%101 W · 132 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ghana vs. Panama: Draw at halftime?this page
- Ghana leading at halftime?No won
- Panama leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.