Fifa International · resolved market
Ghana leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61c81882850bc9c942b5c3c6ca2b39873a6d7add4d1e287a434588ffda7f1103
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 30c | 16,294$4,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,955.7 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 13,205$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.41 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed No | 69c | 7,647$5,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.42 | 89 | 31.5%28 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 68c | 7,056$4,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.03 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 6,631$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.9 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 3,815$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.04 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Yes | 29c | 3,771$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.33 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 69c | 3,277$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.3 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 32c | 2,005$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.2 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4e…5c01backed No | 69c | 1,756$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.32 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 32c | 1,587$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.96 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 69c | 1,299$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.73 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…6e34backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Yes | 4c | 1,189$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed No | 69c | 1,014$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.49 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 3c | 948.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 399 | 33.1%132 W · 267 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Yes | 31c | 839.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.4 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 69c | 838.95$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.33 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795b…9066backed Yes | 31c | 812.9$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes | 3c | 699.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked No | 68c | 643.76$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…8d7abacked Yes | 15c | 602.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.41 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 29c | 599.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 32c | 562.5$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 69c | 545.9$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.52 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 535.24$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.93 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Yes | 32c | 510.41$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.33 | 127 | 24.4%31 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 69c | 404.48$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.43 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 21c | 324.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c1…a09ebacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 17c | 320.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…55d1backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 42.2%117 W · 160 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 66c | 214.94$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 26c | 165.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa855…3a4ebacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…17e6backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes | 32c | 153.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 736 | 26.5%195 W · 541 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 17c | 138.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 130.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed No | 69c | 107.7$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91cb…637bbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 69c | 97.02$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 31c | 92.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1627…9bcabacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed No | 69c | 66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 509 | 50.7%258 W · 251 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…73debacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1609…25a4backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 69c | 59.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…e294backed Yes | 32c | 53.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 301 | 48.2%145 W · 156 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…653abacked Yes | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Yes | 31c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9d…f521backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 68c | 49.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 30c | 47.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…f951backed No | 70c | 42.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8e…22ebbacked Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 70c | 35.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…cc7ebacked Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…9404backed No | 69c | 31.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 277 | 67.9%188 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 69c | 23.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 69c | 21.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 161 | 57.8%93 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked No | 69c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ghana leading at halftime?this page
- Ghana vs. Panama: Draw at halftime?Yes won
- Panama leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.