Tennis · resolved market
Poznan: Michele Ribecai vs Joao Lucas Da Silva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4e9bad6085f9e50bc1c2ebafaa5d6f8e2cf6c22c8073b56dbf2223da09c937f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michele Ribecaiof Michele Ribecai, Joao Lucas Da Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 5c | 26,511$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.23 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 20c | 1,494$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.82 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 58c | 858.12$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Michele Ribecai | 42c | 600$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.19 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Michele Ribecai | 45c | 441.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.65 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 59c | 313.86$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.18 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 34c | 311.32$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.13 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 52c | 292.87$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.51 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8113…22cbbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 12c | 278.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 5c | 233.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Michele Ribecai | 42c | 215.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.92 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Michele Ribecai | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Michele Ribecai | 50c | 183.67$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Michele Ribecai | 42c | 180$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed7…a0fabacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 48c | 178.81$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Michele Ribecai | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 12c | 169$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Michele Ribecai | 44c | 164.26$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.19 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Michele Ribecai | 38c | 153$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 54c | 136.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 26c | 115.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Michele Ribecai | 43c | 115.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Michele Ribecai | 69c | 105$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 56c | 101.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1707…f7eebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Michele Ribecai | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Michele Ribecai | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 59c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Michele Ribecai | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Michele Ribecai | 40c | 42.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Michele Ribecai | 26c | 38.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.