Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Carstensz vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3efe96801689dc355eabfa8cc011d8ced6dfffbf760110870aa8f27568a707ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carstenszof Carstensz, Yangon Galacticos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Yangon Galacticos | 25c | 11,782$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.42 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Carstensz | 56c | 3,792$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.59 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yangon Galacticos | 49c | 3,581$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Yangon Galacticos | 29c | 3,116$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.83 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Carstensz | 50c | 2,971$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.35 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Carstensz | 58c | 2,833$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.49 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Yangon Galacticos | 43c | 2,262$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.83 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Carstensz | 80c | 2,159$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.79 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Yangon Galacticos | 46c | 2,000$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.14 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Carstensz | 75c | 1,951$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.2 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Yangon Galacticos | 44c | 1,920$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.72 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Yangon Galacticos | 29c | 1,875$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.54 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Carstensz | 68c | 1,861$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.61 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Carstensz | 70c | 1,812$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.92 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yangon Galacticos | 43c | 1,758$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.08 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Carstensz | 60c | 1,632$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.78 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Carstensz | 33c | 1,416$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.38 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Carstensz | 72c | 1,394$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.6 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Yangon Galacticos | 22c | 1,164$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.98 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Carstensz | 43c | 1,120$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.26 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Carstensz | 65c | 1,054$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.75 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Yangon Galacticos | 28c | 1,044$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.94 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Carstensz | 59c | 1,036$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.63 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc0…e79ebacked Yangon Galacticos | 53c | 1,005$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Yangon Galacticos | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yangon Galacticos | 37c | 987.63$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.4 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Yangon Galacticos | 48c | 958.07$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.92 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Yangon Galacticos | 12c | 919.93$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.91 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yangon Galacticos | 69c | 914.91$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Yangon Galacticos | 27c | 897.88$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.93 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Carstensz | 62c | 894.44$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.09 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Carstensz | 73c | 875.68$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Carstensz | 68c | 861.66$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.88 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Carstensz | 60c | 850$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Yangon Galacticos | 43c | 827.3$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.98 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Carstensz | 69c | 814.03$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.24 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Carstensz | 54c | 754.48$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.09 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Carstensz | 80c | 752.23$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.84 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Carstensz | 59c | 743$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.63 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Carstensz | 30c | 737.2$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.3 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…477dbacked Yangon Galacticos | 71c | 733.33$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.84 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yangon Galacticos | 50c | 732.95$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.44 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Carstensz | 51c | 721.91$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.45 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Carstensz | 58c | 718.48$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.48 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Yangon Galacticos | 42c | 707.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Carstensz | 38c | 589.66$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.43 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Carstensz | 79c | 585.5$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.95 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…e9acbacked Yangon Galacticos | 44c | 576.89$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Yangon Galacticos | 51c | 558.2$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.68 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Carstensz | 59c | 542.7$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.63 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Carstensz | 57c | 538.65$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.62 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Yangon Galacticos | 28c | 531.42$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.27 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Carstensz | 49c | 523.85$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.4 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Carstensz | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Yangon Galacticos | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Carstensz | 29c | 499.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.09 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Yangon Galacticos | 39c | 499.93$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.97 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Carstensz | 57c | 478.6$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Carstensz | 71c | 470.64$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.85 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Carstensz | 52c | 451.92$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.92 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yangon Galacticos | 40c | 439.74$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.03 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Carstensz | 38c | 413.47$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.54 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Yangon Galacticos | 72c | 408.3$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.09 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Carstensz | 75c | 403.47$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.31 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yangon Galacticos | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Carstensz | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Yangon Galacticos | 22c | 399.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed Yangon Galacticos | 42c | 395.75$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.35 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed Yangon Galacticos | 52c | 392.31$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Carstensz | 77c | 386.98$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Carstensz | 52c | 384$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Yangon Galacticos | 44c | 377.46$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.08 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Carstensz | 54c | 369$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.46 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Carstensz | 73c | 364.76$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…3c89backed Carstensz | 57c | 363$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Carstensz | 57c | 347.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.88 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Yangon Galacticos | 72c | 346.09$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.32 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Carstensz | 41c | 344.41$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.08 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…2d49backed Carstensz | 58c | 343.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked Carstensz | 49c | 342.71$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.78 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yangon Galacticos | 43c | 328.47$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.24 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Carstensz | 56c | 325$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.89 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a5…2cbdbacked Carstensz | 57c | 316.59$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.1 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Carstensz | 70c | 316$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.79 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Carstensz | 51c | 315.88$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.78 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Yangon Galacticos | 49c | 313.52$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.62 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…bd73backed Yangon Galacticos | 50c | 313$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Yangon Galacticos | 31c | 303.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yangon Galacticos | 49c | 303.8$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.16 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Carstensz | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Carstensz | 63c | 296.37$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.28 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Yangon Galacticos | 58c | 290.28$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.78 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Carstensz | 71c | 288.55$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.68 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Carstensz | 70c | 285.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed Yangon Galacticos | 26c | 281.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Yangon Galacticos | 26c | 280.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Carstensz | 76c | 273.97$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.54 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed Yangon Galacticos | 45c | 264.44$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Carstensz | 65c | 262.07$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Carstensz | 55c | 257$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Carstensz vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Carstensz vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 1 WinnerYangon Galacticos won
- Dota 2: Carstensz vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 2 WinnerCarstensz won
- Game Handicap: YG (-1.5) vs Carstensz (+1.5)Carstensz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.