Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Carstensz vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75f6ea2bfebacf1feb47b6a561f7cea295fdb6676f1824842b5e6816a686c964
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carstenszof Carstensz, Yangon Galacticos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yangon Galacticos | 49c | 1,641$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.52 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Yangon Galacticos | 36c | 1,503$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.68 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Carstensz | 58c | 1,153$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.4 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Carstensz | 45c | 1,127$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.97 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Carstensz | 49c | 1,119$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.4 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Yangon Galacticos | 39c | 1,022$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.69 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Yangon Galacticos | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Yangon Galacticos | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Carstensz | 51c | 999.97$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.24 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Yangon Galacticos | 56c | 882.17$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.02 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Carstensz | 48c | 811.74$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.95 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Carstensz | 65c | 680$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.27 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5e…ba7ebacked Yangon Galacticos | 51c | 647.06$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Yangon Galacticos | 47c | 642.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Yangon Galacticos | 56c | 579.99$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.79 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Carstensz | 51c | 568.81$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.81 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…3c89backed Carstensz | 51c | 544.73$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.57 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Carstensz | 54c | 534.78$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Yangon Galacticos | 47c | 520.7$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a5…2cbdbacked Carstensz | 51c | 510.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.26 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Carstensz | 64c | 500.17$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.12 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Carstensz | 31c | 499.92$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.14 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yangon Galacticos | 62c | 483.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Yangon Galacticos | 53c | 365.28$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.18 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yangon Galacticos | 45c | 315.92$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.71 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Carstensz | 51c | 313.84$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.32 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Yangon Galacticos | 57c | 306.88$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Yangon Galacticos | 34c | 292.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yangon Galacticos | 41c | 287.56$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.25 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Carstensz | 51c | 283.03$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.69 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Yangon Galacticos | 61c | 266.65$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.08 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Carstensz | 51c | 266.3$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.84 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Yangon Galacticos | 9c | 262.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Yangon Galacticos | 47c | 250.08$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.78 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Yangon Galacticos | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Carstensz | 45c | 249.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.49 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Carstensz | 53c | 234.35$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Carstensz | 52c | 229.59$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.64 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Carstensz | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Yangon Galacticos | 48c | 225$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Yangon Galacticos | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Carstensz | 46c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Carstensz | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Carstensz | 42c | 183.55$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.55 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Carstensz | 45c | 178.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.38 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yangon Galacticos | 53c | 177.27$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Yangon Galacticos | 57c | 175.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Carstensz | 44c | 169.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Carstensz | 48c | 155.36$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.36 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Carstensz | 48c | 154.53$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.79 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yangon Galacticos | 49c | 153.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Yangon Galacticos | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Carstensz | 47c | 150.84$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.26 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Carstensz | 44c | 149.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Carstensz | 30c | 138$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba6…6c81backed Carstensz | 50c | 137.8$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Yangon Galacticos | 51c | 137.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yangon Galacticos | 21c | 133.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Yangon Galacticos | 51c | 110.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b9…e2debacked Carstensz | 48c | 102.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Carstensz | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yangon Galacticos | 54c | 94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed Yangon Galacticos | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Carstensz | 29c | 84.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yangon Galacticos | 49c | 80.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bda…c134backed Yangon Galacticos | 37c | 80.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Yangon Galacticos | 53c | 76.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Yangon Galacticos | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yangon Galacticos | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Carstensz | 55c | 57.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…34e2backed Carstensz | 74c | 52.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Carstensz | 43c | 51.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 282 | 52.1%147 W · 135 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Carstensz | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Carstensz | 44c | 49.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Carstensz | 51c | 47.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Carstensz | 43c | 44.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Yangon Galacticos | 52c | 44.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Carstensz | 53c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Carstensz | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yangon Galacticos | 57c | 38.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Carstensz | 40c | 36.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed Yangon Galacticos | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…3eb7backed Yangon Galacticos | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yangon Galacticos | 43c | 31.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Yangon Galacticos | 54c | 27.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 306 | 43.5%133 W · 173 L | -22.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Carstensz | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd932…af3cbacked Carstensz | 54c | 27.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked Carstensz | 48c | 27.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Yangon Galacticos | 56c | 24.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Yangon Galacticos | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Carstensz vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Carstensz vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsCarstensz won
- Dota 2: Carstensz vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 1 WinnerYangon Galacticos won
- Game Handicap: YG (-1.5) vs Carstensz (+1.5)Carstensz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.