Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d734d06f5cc188df9537b07641bf6bcf4f2759f4edaf057d3055d8b64fef953
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grind Backof Grind Back, Carstensz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52f9…1fb2backed Carstensz | 31c | 6,298$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Carstensz | 23c | 5,085$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.75 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Carstensz | 28c | 1,712$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.39 | 565 | 45%254 W · 311 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Grind Back | 74c | 1,697$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.93 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Carstensz | 27c | 1,667$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.51 | 583 | 46.3%270 W · 313 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Carstensz | 28c | 1,268$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.91 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Carstensz | 30c | 1,261$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.93 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Grind Back | 80c | 1,111$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Grind Back | 70c | 1,073$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.33 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Grind Back | 64c | 1,007$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.58 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Grind Back | 80c | 1,002$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Grind Back | 77c | 1,000$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.32 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Grind Back | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Grind Back | 64c | 999.98$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Grind Back | 76c | 930.94$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.03 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Carstensz | 33c | 900.38$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Grind Back | 62c | 860.99$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.3 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Grind Back | 63c | 800.55$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.72 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Grind Back | 63c | 789.48$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.48 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…ef1dbacked Grind Back | 65c | 777.49$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.12 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Grind Back | 68c | 738.97$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.6 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Carstensz | 36c | 698$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.21 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked Carstensz | 31c | 649.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed Grind Back | 80c | 630$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Carstensz | 37c | 601.44$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.53 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Carstensz | 37c | 577.98$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.74 | 290 | 43.4%126 W · 164 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Carstensz | 37c | 535.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Grind Back | 63c | 506.41$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.41 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Grind Back | 65c | 505.38$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.47 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Carstensz | 40c | 503.22$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Carstensz | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Grind Back | 67c | 500$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.27 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Carstensz | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Carstensz | 33c | 485.14$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.1 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Carstensz | 39c | 482.23$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Grind Back | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 339 | 51.3%174 W · 165 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…2b8dbacked Carstensz | 33c | 428.88$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Grind Back | 75c | 374.97$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Grind Back | 72c | 365.09$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.19 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Grind Back | 80c | 362.88$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.58 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Grind Back | 64c | 356.18$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.44 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…9805backed Grind Back | 63c | 349.21$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Grind Back | 65c | 302.68$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.51 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…c2d7backed Carstensz | 40c | 275.93$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Grind Back | 66c | 266.61$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Carstensz | 35c | 255.03$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.94 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…7fe1backed Grind Back | 63c | 250$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Grind Back | 71c | 247$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Grind Back | 79c | 245$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed Grind Back | 63c | 238.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Grind Back | 75c | 212$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 907 | 56.1%509 W · 398 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Grind Back | 80c | 205$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Carstensz | 36c | 194.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Grind Back | 66c | 194.41$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24dc…25abbacked Grind Back | 63c | 190.95$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Grind Back | 69c | 188.77$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…26eabacked Carstensz | 36c | 188.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Carstensz | 41c | 166.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Grind Back | 59c | 164$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Grind Back | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Grind Back | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Grind Back | 58c | 159.93$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Grind Back | 64c | 158.55$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked Grind Back | 68c | 157.84$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Carstensz | 43c | 143.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Carstensz | 38c | 142.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Grind Back | 75c | 141.27$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…24c3backed Grind Back | 61c | 140$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Grind Back | 63c | 138.3$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Grind Back | 78c | 136.43$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Carstensz | 19c | 124$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Grind Back | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Carstensz | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Carstensz | 33c | 120$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Grind Back | 65c | 116.39$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Grind Back | 58c | 113.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Carstensz | 13c | 104$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 634 | 47.6%302 W · 332 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Grind Back | 66c | 103.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Grind Back | 61c | 101.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed Grind Back | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed Carstensz | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239c…f7c2backed Carstensz | 24c | 87.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb654…7be3backed Grind Back | 59c | 83.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…fd98backed Grind Back | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…828fbacked Grind Back | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Grind Back | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc06b…76ddbacked Grind Back | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2e…9d98backed Grind Back | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Carstensz | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Grind Back | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Grind Back | 63c | 79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Grind Back | 53c | 78.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeab…fd91backed Carstensz | 39c | 77.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Grind Back | 69c | 76.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Grind Back | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grind Back | 80c | 74.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Carstensz | 31c | 74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Grind Back | 59c | 71.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf120…ce3cbacked Grind Back | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Grind Back | 59c | 67.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz - Game 1 WinnerGrind Back won
- Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz - Game 2 WinnerGrind Back won
- Game Handicap: Grind (-1.5) vs Carstensz (+1.5)Grind Back won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.