Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96295b2929b3a9410ee07da95aae540dc324e233e252d6a765e598fb6bb80f44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grind Backof Grind Back, Carstensz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Carstensz | 44c | 3,730$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Carstensz | 33c | 3,585$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.79 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Grind Back | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Carstensz | 33c | 1,967$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.38 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Carstensz | 6c | 1,850$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Grind Back | 68c | 1,530$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Grind Back | 56c | 1,259$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.16 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Carstensz | 34c | 1,185$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.63 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Carstensz | 40c | 1,166$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.7 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Grind Back | 60c | 1,164$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.1 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Grind Back | 62c | 1,152$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.51 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Carstensz | 32c | 1,115$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.74 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Carstensz | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Carstensz | 50c | 921$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.25 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Grind Back | 79c | 799.98$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Grind Back | 68c | 736.06$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.76 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Grind Back | 65c | 676.93$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.5 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Carstensz | 16c | 651.24$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Grind Back | 68c | 649.52$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.93 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Grind Back | 80c | 595.11$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.02 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Carstensz | 26c | 590$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Carstensz | 3c | 579.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Carstensz | 34c | 510.22$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.79 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Grind Back | 57c | 509.14$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.46 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Grind Back | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Grind Back | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Carstensz | 19c | 483.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…bdc8backed Grind Back | 55c | 423.49$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.57 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Carstensz | 30c | 383.84$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.3 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Grind Back | 56c | 354.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.58 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Carstensz | 49c | 336.98$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.59 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Carstensz | 24c | 323.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Carstensz | 24c | 313$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Grind Back | 63c | 310$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Carstensz | 45c | 309.25$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.24 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Grind Back | 49c | 307.79$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.97 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Carstensz | 24c | 290.22$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Grind Back | 65c | 288.97$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Carstensz | 33c | 251.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Grind Back | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Carstensz | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Grind Back | 60c | 227.07$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.04 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Carstensz | 35c | 195.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Carstensz | 13c | 193.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Grind Back | 65c | 179.94$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Carstensz | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Carstensz | 17c | 176.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Grind Back | 59c | 161.79$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.58 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Grind Back | 61c | 160.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Carstensz | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Carstensz | 39c | 143.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Carstensz | 24c | 125.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Carstensz | 39c | 115.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Grind Back | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Carstensz | 39c | 110$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Grind Back | 56c | 108.83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Grind Back | 57c | 106$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3a…269fbacked Carstensz | 53c | 103.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…3c89backed Carstensz | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Grind Back | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Grind Back | 48c | 90.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Carstensz | 38c | 90.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf120…ce3cbacked Carstensz | 38c | 89.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Grind Back | 64c | 78.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Grind Back | 69c | 78.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Grind Back | 57c | 70.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Carstensz | 35c | 69.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Grind Back | 70c | 67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Carstensz | 43c | 64.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Carstensz | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ac…fd38backed Carstensz | 41c | 57.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Grind Back | 65c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Grind Back | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Grind Back | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Grind Back | 49c | 44.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 282 | 52.1%147 W · 135 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afa…a29ebacked Carstensz | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Carstensz | 40c | 39.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Grind Back | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Grind Back | 78c | 34.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Carstensz | 36c | 32.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Grind Back | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked Grind Back | 59c | 28.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd932…af3cbacked Grind Back | 55c | 26.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Grind Back | 64c | 23.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7f…fe7bbacked Carstensz | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsGrind Back won
- Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz - Game 2 WinnerGrind Back won
- Game Handicap: Grind (-1.5) vs Carstensz (+1.5)Grind Back won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.