Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14f9e798b6883b62836201c135776c068f4198961978c96afb39b0c10e6a10d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, summer bear
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…165bbacked summer bear | 32c | 3,938$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.43 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Zero Tenacity | 79c | 3,077$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.94 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed summer bear | 37c | 2,515$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.05 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed summer bear | 31c | 1,966$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked summer bear | 20c | 1,821$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.24 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Zero Tenacity | 63c | 1,787$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.94 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Zero Tenacity | 72c | 1,392$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.1 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed summer bear | 36c | 1,276$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.52 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed summer bear | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…c2d7backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 1,139$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.88 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed summer bear | 3c | 950$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed summer bear | 47c | 942.05$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.08 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed summer bear | 33c | 712.38$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.32 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Zero Tenacity | 64c | 688.73$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.71 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Zero Tenacity | 68c | 666.68$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.25 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Zero Tenacity | 46c | 646.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.06 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Zero Tenacity | 53c | 620$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.4 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked summer bear | 21c | 600$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Zero Tenacity | 66c | 592.37$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.52 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…477dbacked Zero Tenacity | 73c | 550.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.31 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Zero Tenacity | 71c | 499.49$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.31 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked summer bear | 34c | 489.73$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.41 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed summer bear | 27c | 470.68$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.08 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8224…7384backed Zero Tenacity | 76c | 438.49$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Zero Tenacity | 66c | 375.11$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.13 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Zero Tenacity | 66c | 351.08$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Zero Tenacity | 79c | 320$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed summer bear | 38c | 305$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed summer bear | 29c | 295.3$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.64 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed summer bear | 20c | 294.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked summer bear | 25c | 287.39$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa762…b524backed summer bear | 9c | 264.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed summer bear | 40c | 246.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Zero Tenacity | 73c | 239.73$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed summer bear | 44c | 226.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed summer bear | 18c | 225.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked summer bear | 43c | 218.92$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked summer bear | 51c | 212.77$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.51 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed summer bear | 49c | 202.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Zero Tenacity | 64c | 200.6$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Zero Tenacity | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +11.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Zero Tenacity | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed summer bear | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed summer bear | 25c | 199.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed summer bear | 38c | 182.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 180.15$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Zero Tenacity | 47c | 179.01$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…ed4bbacked summer bear | 27c | 178.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Zero Tenacity | 71c | 171.83$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 171.23$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed summer bear | 49c | 169.13$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked summer bear | 33c | 166.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Zero Tenacity | 70c | 165.91$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Zero Tenacity | 58c | 162.41$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 93 | 65.6%61 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked summer bear | 32c | 159.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Zero Tenacity | 64c | 158.47$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Zero Tenacity | 67c | 152.01$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Zero Tenacity | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…7442backed summer bear | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed summer bear | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 145.31$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Zero Tenacity | 78c | 140.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed summer bear | 36c | 139.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…24c3backed summer bear | 25c | 136.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Zero Tenacity | 58c | 130$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…7518backed summer bear | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd37…9d71backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 124.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 122.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Zero Tenacity | 52c | 113$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea52…7c37backed Zero Tenacity | 76c | 111.61$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Zero Tenacity | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Zero Tenacity | 63c | 107.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Zero Tenacity | 55c | 107.75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 105.56$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed summer bear | 28c | 104.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 100.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked summer bear | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62c1…cfafbacked summer bear | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Zero Tenacity | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb654…7be3backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed summer bear | 18c | 93.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Zero Tenacity | 77c | 91.37$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed summer bear | 48c | 86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked summer bear | 47c | 82.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Zero Tenacity | 67c | 82.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…bb65backed summer bear | 36c | 80.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Zero Tenacity | 62c | 77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked Zero Tenacity | 45c | 72.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 72.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…7caebacked Zero Tenacity | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed summer bear | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…0beabacked Zero Tenacity | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed summer bear | 51c | 66.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…f204backed summer bear | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear - Game 1 Winnersummer bear won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.