Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2518c10a8f46a33d3cef142b5c95bda2206537a7eaea0bec75b8c94d90b6a4d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, summer bear
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfab…f067backed summer bear | 32c | 4,287$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.77 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Zero Tenacity | 62c | 2,324$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.53 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked summer bear | 39c | 2,135$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.18 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 1,712$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.94 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Zero Tenacity | 69c | 1,500$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.99 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed summer bear | 4c | 1,303$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed summer bear | 25c | 1,248$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.61 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Zero Tenacity | 58c | 1,110$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.3 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed summer bear | 31c | 967.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed summer bear | 39c | 766.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 680.59$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.29 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Zero Tenacity | 55c | 542.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.32 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…7337backed summer bear | 8c | 518.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Zero Tenacity | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.88 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…7ecfbacked summer bear | 37c | 407.29$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.93 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed summer bear | 29c | 369.66$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.01 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Zero Tenacity | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Zero Tenacity | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…7518backed summer bear | 5c | 222.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed summer bear | 45c | 220.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed summer bear | 45c | 220.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Zero Tenacity | 70c | 210.08$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed summer bear | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked summer bear | 27c | 180.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked summer bear | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 158.91$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed summer bear | 13c | 154.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Zero Tenacity | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…ed4bbacked summer bear | 46c | 104.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Zero Tenacity | 77c | 101.08$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed summer bear | 40c | 100.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed summer bear | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed summer bear | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Zero Tenacity | 58c | 98.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Zero Tenacity | 60c | 72.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Zero Tenacity | 80c | 71.68$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Zero Tenacity | 64c | 68.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed summer bear | 34c | 58.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed summer bear | 45c | 43.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 282 | 52.1%147 W · 135 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked summer bear | 34c | 41.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed summer bear | 44c | 40.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 34.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 34.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Zero Tenacity | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 20.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Zero Tenacity | 75c | 19.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear - Game 1 Winnersummer bear won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.