Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e1a51c871522aaf0fed887028703054439fda7f450fd1effcb2ce5c72c86f60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- summer bearof Zero Tenacity, summer bear
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed summer bear | 42c | 9,295$3,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,419.34 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 7,117$4,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,825.7 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 3,554$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.7 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed summer bear | 49c | 3,128$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.53 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed summer bear | 40c | 2,490$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.87 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed summer bear | 38c | 2,148$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.11 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Zero Tenacity | 52c | 2,104$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.47 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Zero Tenacity | 71c | 2,100$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.95 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 62c | 1,962$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.62 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Zero Tenacity | 62c | 1,900$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.23 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked summer bear | 55c | 1,780$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.43 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zero Tenacity | 59c | 1,673$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.74 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 58c | 1,173$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.38 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked summer bear | 35c | 1,047$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.17 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…9805backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 922.9$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed summer bear | 34c | 819.98$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked summer bear | 40c | 751.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.88 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked summer bear | 51c | 679.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.69 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 650$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked summer bear | 49c | 610$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.1 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 600$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Zero Tenacity | 64c | 587.13$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.61 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 525.99$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.9 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 524.14$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.12 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Zero Tenacity | 2c | 450$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed summer bear | 34c | 404.31$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.9 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 400.04$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.67 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 399.97$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Zero Tenacity | 53c | 358.35$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.97 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Zero Tenacity | 58c | 316.64$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.65 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Zero Tenacity | 61c | 314$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.46 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 301.72$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Zero Tenacity | 75c | 290$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.2 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Zero Tenacity | 61c | 266.67$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.42 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Zero Tenacity | 60c | 233.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.03 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed summer bear | 42c | 232.85$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.36 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa762…b524backed Zero Tenacity | 15c | 209.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 198.13$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.35 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…f7e2backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 193$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.94 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed summer bear | 40c | 188.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.83 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Zero Tenacity | 66c | 177.45$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.71 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Zero Tenacity | 62c | 161$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…7ecfbacked summer bear | 38c | 158.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.03 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 156$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed Zero Tenacity | 66c | 152.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed summer bear | 38c | 125$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 121.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked Zero Tenacity | 64c | 105.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed summer bear | 65c | 104.46$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 101.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Zero Tenacity | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed summer bear | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Zero Tenacity | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed summer bear | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed summer bear | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed summer bear | 37c | 97.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed summer bear | 22c | 97.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked summer bear | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…ed4bbacked Zero Tenacity | 58c | 83.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked summer bear | 52c | 80.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked summer bear | 20c | 79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed summer bear | 52c | 74.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Zero Tenacity | 64c | 69.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Zero Tenacity | 51c | 59.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 58.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 395 | 59%233 W · 162 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed summer bear | 55c | 58.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066d…1bffbacked Zero Tenacity | 54c | 56.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…e9bebacked Zero Tenacity | 54c | 54.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 50.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed summer bear | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed summer bear | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Zero Tenacity | 66c | 47.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 43.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Zero Tenacity | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Zero Tenacity | 76c | 41.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 40.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d28…ad7cbacked Zero Tenacity | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Zero Tenacity | 61c | 38.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Zero Tenacity | 58c | 37.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…5ea0backed Zero Tenacity | 69c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…0effbacked Zero Tenacity | 60c | 34.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…5ceebacked summer bear | 65c | 33.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cd…6d22backed summer bear | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Zero Tenacity | 63c | 27.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 27.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked Zero Tenacity | 65c | 24.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4954…ac42backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…bb65backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 21.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 21.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Zero Tenacity | 55c | 21.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9195backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 20.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb103…233dbacked Zero Tenacity | 80c | 13.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.