TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grind Backof GLYPH, Grind Back
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$231,145
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$256,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,145 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed GLYPH52c10,423$5,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,440.581,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Grind Back56c10,384$5,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,582.3371454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x19d0…2101backed GLYPH25c6,570$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.227054.3%38 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9625…5bb7backed GLYPH63c4,750$2,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,992.52572%18 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed Grind Back44c3,975$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.253953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Grind Back28c3,792$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,721.471143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Grind Back42c3,018$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.1636248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Grind Back78c2,945$2,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.3269132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked GLYPH41c2,708$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.285253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Grind Back65c2,655$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.11,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Grind Back42c2,462$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.9541056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6683…de6bbacked GLYPH70c2,416$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6903557.1%20 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed GLYPH52c2,390$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.610051%51 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Grind Back45c2,342$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.9129243.2%126 W · 166 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Grind Back48c2,334$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.021,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Grind Back36c2,174$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.561,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Grind Back40c2,099$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.293546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked GLYPH38c2,081$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.991,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b94…b660backed Grind Back56c2,006$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed GLYPH60c1,888$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.48459.5%50 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed GLYPH79c1,750$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37912740.2%51 W · 76 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed Grind Back38c1,750$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.753151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Grind Back56c1,589$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.6122543.6%98 W · 127 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Grind Back55c1,545$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.2851049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked GLYPH58c1,439$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.6516147.2%76 W · 85 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Grind Back44c1,367$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.425836.2%21 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Grind Back42c1,351$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.838536.5%31 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Grind Back44c1,350$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.9881029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73f4…158ebacked Grind Back53c1,349$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.5323561.7%145 W · 90 L+19.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x08b8…e7dabacked GLYPH62c1,322$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.9531055.2%171 W · 139 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16cf…f719backed Grind Back63c1,321$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.451442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked GLYPH30c1,269$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.91,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked GLYPH58c1,261$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.053050%15 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed GLYPH63c1,250$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.4351364.9%333 W · 180 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Grind Back45c1,176$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.7253652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Grind Back39c1,168$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.421,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52f9…1fb2backed Grind Back43c1,168$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.763627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed GLYPH55c1,054$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.5828341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked GLYPH57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57065863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed GLYPH35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Grind Back17c999.98$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.9969835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Grind Back35c998.2$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.6135737%132 W · 225 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked GLYPH42c925.25$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.8399844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e65…694fbacked GLYPH18c878.74$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.11643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed GLYPH66c867.93$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.8977941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958c…a328backed GLYPH50c860$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43028347%133 W · 150 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbeef…92b7backed GLYPH16c852.38$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1315054.7%82 W · 68 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed GLYPH4c828.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.153323%10 W · 322 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Grind Back43c800.83$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.7923342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed GLYPH58c795$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.971546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed GLYPH57c786.98$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.5818437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Grind Back64c785.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.0691553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Grind Back54c779.87$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.2789238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2831…5473backed GLYPH75c774.84$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.824973.5%36 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Grind Back32c763.9$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.743860.5%265 W · 173 L+44.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Grind Back76c749.94$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.642053.6%225 W · 195 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…13dabacked GLYPH61c745.87$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.541637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31ab…20e9backed GLYPH64c729.66$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4693762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Grind Back46c703.86$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.9941455.6%230 W · 184 L+41.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed GLYPH69c687.07$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47614763.3%93 W · 54 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed Grind Back41c660$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.354247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38d1…ac96backed Grind Back68c649.55$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.18837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa896…4819backed GLYPH58c632.53$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.872035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Grind Back31c630.33$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.4816539.4%65 W · 100 L-0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed GLYPH59c618.64$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+68.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Grind Back70c612.17$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.9313764.2%88 W · 49 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed GLYPH67c600.83$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.7153758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Grind Back50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb238…4961backed GLYPH3c599.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.412548.8%61 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Grind Back29c596.45$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.7765647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked GLYPH46c593.25$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.611,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Grind Back46c564.75$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.0954246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed GLYPH56c554.81$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.121,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Grind Back78c554.11$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.431752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5480…b38cbacked GLYPH58c549$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.653135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5674…477dbacked GLYPH55c544.88$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-52.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0284…97f6backed GLYPH58c534.48$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f56…d7dbbacked Grind Back41c534.38$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.048538.8%33 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Grind Back47c508.07$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8661449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb417…d931backed GLYPH58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904930.6%15 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-31.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3bb6…944cbacked Grind Back44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Grind Back48c485.81$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.62,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Grind Back44c483.39$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.75949.2%29 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Grind Back54c477.68$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.2930146.2%139 W · 162 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Grind Back42c474.52$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.5246240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3296…c186backed GLYPH25c468.72$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11916552.1%86 W · 79 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Grind Back38c459.5$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.4310050%50 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Grind Back49c454.18$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.7845352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35d…102abacked GLYPH60c442.78$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.6720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed GLYPH64c433.47$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.4622363.2%141 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Grind Back33c424.9$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.914538.6%56 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Grind Back50c422$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21119458.8%114 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked GLYPH25c420.02$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10519338.9%75 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ed…41b2backed GLYPH70c403.95$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.046764.2%43 W · 24 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Grind Back45c397.5$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.5366947.1%315 W · 354 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed GLYPH59c386.69$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-53.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0472…c3bfbacked GLYPH50c384.34$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.648048.8%39 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed GLYPH64c383.63$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.4658356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked GLYPH57c367.28$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.0915050%75 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6b…a307backed Grind Back27c365.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.378940.4%36 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.