Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2925b474ba25c3a4ae2ca0e8a21afcc5564daf188364746749f3deeac164b15a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GLYPHof GLYPH, Grind Back
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3df…9945backed GLYPH | 61c | 1,826$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.13 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Grind Back | 16c | 1,428$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.8 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Grind Back | 27c | 1,362$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.38 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Grind Back | 39c | 1,310$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.4 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Grind Back | 6c | 1,250$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed GLYPH | 80c | 1,224$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.51 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Grind Back | 34c | 1,218$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.1 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed GLYPH | 61c | 1,212$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.55 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed GLYPH | 75c | 1,181$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.08 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Grind Back | 25c | 1,118$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.64 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Grind Back | 38c | 1,040$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.7 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Grind Back | 36c | 974.73$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.91 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Grind Back | 41c | 972.52$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.73 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed GLYPH | 57c | 861.36$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.3 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed GLYPH | 72c | 688.2$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.98 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed GLYPH | 65c | 678.24$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.98 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Grind Back | 25c | 602.88$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.53 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed GLYPH | 58c | 587.26$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.52 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed GLYPH | 53c | 583.61$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.61 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…1b71backed GLYPH | 64c | 554.38$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…29a8backed Grind Back | 3c | 549.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed GLYPH | 64c | 520.83$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.83 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Grind Back | 42c | 508.32$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.91 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Grind Back | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8eda…1d99backed Grind Back | 13c | 484$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Grind Back | 7c | 439.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34f…40ffbacked Grind Back | 3c | 399.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Grind Back | 38c | 395.92$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Grind Back | 33c | 390.34$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Grind Back | 8c | 361.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Grind Back | 35c | 353.35$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.89 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed GLYPH | 60c | 350$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Grind Back | 8c | 348.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 300 | 54.7%164 W · 136 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Grind Back | 13c | 329.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Grind Back | 19c | 321.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Grind Back | 34c | 318.89$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Grind Back | 15c | 294.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed GLYPH | 60c | 264.33$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.73 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Grind Back | 43c | 255.35$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Grind Back | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked Grind Back | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Grind Back | 30c | 233.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Grind Back | 12c | 219.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Grind Back | 12c | 214$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Grind Back | 41c | 195.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed GLYPH | 71c | 194.6$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.23 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Grind Back | 44c | 189.19$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.24 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed GLYPH | 59c | 179.97$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Grind Back | 35c | 170.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked GLYPH | 55c | 168.18$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Grind Back | 44c | 159.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed GLYPH | 74c | 134$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5480…b38cbacked Grind Back | 46c | 126$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Grind Back | 28c | 124.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Grind Back | 29c | 124.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Grind Back | 32c | 119.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed GLYPH | 67c | 104.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…7541backed Grind Back | 21c | 102.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…3c89backed GLYPH | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Grind Back | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked GLYPH | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed GLYPH | 76c | 92.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812e…6f3cbacked GLYPH | 57c | 92.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked GLYPH | 60c | 71.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed GLYPH | 67c | 71.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Grind Back | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked GLYPH | 72c | 69.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Grind Back | 34c | 68.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…0747backed Grind Back | 45c | 66.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed GLYPH | 63c | 65.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed GLYPH | 77c | 64.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…4498backed GLYPH | 57c | 60.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed Grind Back | 38c | 57.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked Grind Back | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed GLYPH | 71c | 56.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Grind Back | 31c | 53.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Grind Back | 46c | 50.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked GLYPH | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed GLYPH | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked GLYPH | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cd…6d22backed GLYPH | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…0b12backed Grind Back | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked GLYPH | 70c | 41.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Grind Back | 31c | 38.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Grind Back | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5c…aa54backed GLYPH | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Grind Back | 40c | 31.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Grind Back | 37c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Grind Back | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed GLYPH | 58c | 23.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47cf…9a02backed GLYPH | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsGrind Back won
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back - Game 2 WinnerGrind Back won
- Game Handicap: GLYPH (-1.5) vs Grind Back (+1.5)Grind Back won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.