TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grind Backof GLYPH, Grind Back
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,282
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,842

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,282 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed GLYPH51c20,203$10,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,214.21,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Grind Back34c10,009$3,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,605.9447646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Grind Back72c3,547$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.3871454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Grind Back51c3,498$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.6389741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed GLYPH64c3,293$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.751049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed GLYPH63c3,022$1,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9028459.5%50 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Grind Back46c2,500$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.7180256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Grind Back54c2,195$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.091,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Grind Back47c2,190$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.141,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e3f…6deebacked GLYPH64c2,015$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.122055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed GLYPH66c2,000$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.411,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Grind Back35c1,921$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.181,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f4…158ebacked GLYPH67c1,875$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.2123561.7%145 W · 90 L+19.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed GLYPH47c1,857$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.7533453%177 W · 157 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed GLYPH65c1,817$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.3141056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Grind Back40c1,798$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.842,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Grind Back40c1,720$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.0371143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Grind Back45c1,700$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94157449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f56…d7dbbacked Grind Back44c1,528$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.138538.8%33 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed GLYPH66c1,524$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00914763.3%93 W · 54 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5b1…1b71backed Grind Back36c1,512$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.016741.8%28 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed GLYPH56c1,500$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.9651364.9%333 W · 180 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Grind Back47c1,441$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.629243.2%126 W · 166 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Grind Back36c1,370$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.0825549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Grind Back33c1,316$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.8328341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958c…a328backed Grind Back34c1,271$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.3828347%133 W · 150 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed GLYPH74c1,065$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.0515150.3%76 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f31…a362backed GLYPH66c1,016$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.2616558.2%96 W · 69 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Grind Back34c999.96$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9769835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed GLYPH40c989.06$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.7169132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Grind Back36c985$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.2315050%75 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed GLYPH65c888.84$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.368042.5%34 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d86…a6f9backed GLYPH51c821.35$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41610040%40 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Grind Back45c754.43$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.421,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Grind Back34c739.25$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.2548053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Grind Back39c739.24$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+159.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Grind Back52c713.93$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.0891553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Grind Back35c701.6$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.3812740.2%51 W · 76 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Grind Back54c676.57$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.1333041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Grind Back75c658$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.881,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed Grind Back33c649.99$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43815639.1%61 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Grind Back46c599.3$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.0410741.1%44 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf346…1b8ebacked Grind Back43c575.36$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.3622438.8%87 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35d…102abacked GLYPH61c557.67$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Grind Back67c548.74$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.241,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4711…ce32backed GLYPH63c542.96$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.051822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Grind Back51c508.29$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.2945352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Grind Back44c506.88$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.9420030.5%61 W · 139 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Grind Back40c504.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.9961449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked GLYPH63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31533867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb4c…f815backed Grind Back48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Grind Back47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26516147.2%76 W · 85 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bb6…944cbacked Grind Back46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Grind Back48c461.54$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2404645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Grind Back54c452$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.242053.6%225 W · 195 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Grind Back56c447.44$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.220767.1%139 W · 68 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Grind Back50c444.15$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.6526147.9%125 W · 136 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Grind Back47c436.26$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.2241455.6%230 W · 184 L+41.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Grind Back45c422.22$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.221855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43dc…86e1backed Grind Back49c409.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.8124244.6%108 W · 134 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked GLYPH63c400$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.565863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Grind Back39c392.53$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.2113764.2%88 W · 49 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Grind Back48c365.84$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.841,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked GLYPH36c364.09$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9989238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Grind Back40c360.1$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.8380544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Grind Back40c350.66$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.6657735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed GLYPH60c350$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.511239.3%44 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b3…c2d7backed GLYPH67c347.6$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.894566.7%30 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b1c…8273backed GLYPH58c344.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc48…24c3backed Grind Back45c338$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.181637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38d1…ac96backed GLYPH62c321.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed Grind Back34c320.41$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.431450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked GLYPH23c310$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.331052.6%163 W · 147 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa894…2830backed Grind Back39c306.63$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.81952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed GLYPH50c299.99$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15196245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Grind Back46c295.46$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.555949.2%29 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Grind Back74c290.32$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.47964.6%51 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Grind Back48c286.89$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.571,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde41…58bdbacked Grind Back46c285.46$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.151250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Grind Back42c267.72$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.0456945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Grind Back43c251.65$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6258746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Grind Back41c251.22$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.2630146.2%139 W · 162 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked GLYPH71c246.48$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17515069.3%104 W · 46 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed GLYPH63c240$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.234442.2%145 W · 199 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed GLYPH33c231.53$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5287645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed GLYPH64c229.65$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2254246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0472…c3bfbacked Grind Back32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1368048.8%39 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Grind Back43c200$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9574549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Grind Back42c199.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9913635.3%48 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x235f…9225backed GLYPH65c197.12$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a77…e59dbacked Grind Back43c192.55$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.8422031.8%70 W · 150 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf438…9901backed Grind Back38c185.8$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.824228.6%12 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked Grind Back45c178.22$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.022846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3a…269fbacked GLYPH57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004050%20 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Grind Back41c175$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6930844.8%138 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed GLYPH26c174.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453323%10 W · 322 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x312c…0f42backed GLYPH59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037252.7%196 W · 176 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e2…3ad5backed GLYPH58c167.37$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.071323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+76%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Grind Back44c158.77$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4366947.1%315 W · 354 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Grind Back38c156.97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9830054.7%164 W · 136 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.