Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x681a74071ea15a3101f6e7ffc69d02d26d46e88be668466a4f3c929ad83531d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 4ikibamboniof 4ikibamboni, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb877…4601backed Zero Tenacity | 36c | 1,376$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.13 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 4ikibamboni | 66c | 1,348$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.89 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…477dbacked 4ikibamboni | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked 4ikibamboni | 57c | 217$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Zero Tenacity | 41c | 204.73$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed 4ikibamboni | 66c | 198.5$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 168.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed 4ikibamboni | 65c | 163$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Zero Tenacity | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 4ikibamboni | 63c | 131.32$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 4ikibamboni | 70c | 113.46$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Zero Tenacity | 31c | 110.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked 4ikibamboni | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 4ikibamboni | 73c | 68.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…7caebacked Zero Tenacity | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…8a71backed 4ikibamboni | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Zero Tenacity | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed 4ikibamboni | 72c | 32.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked 4ikibamboni | 63c | 28.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed 4ikibamboni | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c3…4d56backed 4ikibamboni | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner4ikibamboni won
- Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner4ikibamboni won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.