TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
4ikibamboniof 4ikibamboni, Zero Tenacity
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,570
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,242

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,570 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3413…8ff2backed Zero Tenacity50c5,011$2,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,505.2547646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 4ikibamboni42c3,040$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7701,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Zero Tenacity63c2,537$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.248057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 4ikibamboni48c1,777$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.671143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Zero Tenacity59c1,605$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.0789741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Zero Tenacity58c1,558$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.7657449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed 4ikibamboni48c1,419$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.7237745.4%171 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Zero Tenacity52c1,386$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.7279859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Zero Tenacity24c1,200$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.9951544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed 4ikibamboni49c1,103$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.9916055.6%89 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed 4ikibamboni45c925$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5107341.1%30 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked 4ikibamboni47c785$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.2728145.6%128 W · 153 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked 4ikibamboni42c769.96$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.9748053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25c6…dcacbacked Zero Tenacity54c649.98$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.9910653.8%57 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed 4ikibamboni40c639.04$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.0491553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked 4ikibamboni60c626.84$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.981,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 4ikibamboni47c494.74$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.022,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Zero Tenacity59c491.82$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28972154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Zero Tenacity51c489.69$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.741,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41a0…87e7backed 4ikibamboni43c471.28$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.3910933%36 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Zero Tenacity38c454.99$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.996245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity56c404.3$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.412,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed 4ikibamboni41c315.22$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.2226147.9%125 W · 136 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed 4ikibamboni50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15041037.3%153 W · 257 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed 4ikibamboni41c250.67$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.681,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed 4ikibamboni47c248.86$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.8619053.2%101 W · 89 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed 4ikibamboni70c247.56$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.672748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked 4ikibamboni39c231.71$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.51,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked 4ikibamboni50c226$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11361449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked 4ikibamboni50c218.79$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.43455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 4ikibamboni55c217.84$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.141,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ad…a700backed 4ikibamboni50c210$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1053951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed 4ikibamboni49c205.5$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.861947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e1d…2b19backed Zero Tenacity31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626759.7%40 W · 27 L+11.3wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+32.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd241…6c35backed Zero Tenacity31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623658.3%21 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b1c…8273backed 4ikibamboni54c186.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.11250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc75…af4dbacked Zero Tenacity30c186$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.669150.5%46 W · 45 L+12.5wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+23.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa781…8745backed 4ikibamboni31c182.86$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.274650%23 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed 4ikibamboni56c182.21$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2912065.8%79 W · 41 L+15.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked 4ikibamboni46c172.75$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.551,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Zero Tenacity51c149.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.878516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed 4ikibamboni45c146.75$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.011,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d6…423dbacked Zero Tenacity31c143$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.333151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3066…693abacked Zero Tenacity51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7054648.5%265 W · 281 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed 4ikibamboni53c125.73$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.765647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a8…d77fbacked 4ikibamboni41c110.47$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.274768.1%32 W · 15 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+28.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked 4ikibamboni29c110$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.214655.5%81 W · 65 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e5f…6ee5backed 4ikibamboni45c104.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.744944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked 4ikibamboni50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Zero Tenacity51c101.49$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7626550.6%134 W · 131 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Zero Tenacity14c100.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Zero Tenacity31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318448.8%41 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda91…d760backed Zero Tenacity30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017340.5%70 W · 103 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Zero Tenacity31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3169033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Zero Tenacity47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.31,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd3…3d7abacked 4ikibamboni41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5929047.9%139 W · 151 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2230…c3b7backed 4ikibamboni29c99.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.992839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed 4ikibamboni57c96$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5917443.1%75 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde92…ad67backed Zero Tenacity11c94.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Zero Tenacity53c93.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5073554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked 4ikibamboni46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.965940.7%24 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Zero Tenacity31c86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6628336.4%103 W · 180 L+1.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd2…87f4backed Zero Tenacity31c86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.668657%49 W · 37 L+13.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+32.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x70cf…1b41backed Zero Tenacity31c86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.663650%18 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Zero Tenacity31c86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6625351.4%130 W · 123 L+23.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Zero Tenacity31c86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6630250%151 W · 151 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked Zero Tenacity31c86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.664742.6%20 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7d…8895backed Zero Tenacity62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028252.5%148 W · 134 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed 4ikibamboni33c80$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.650247.6%239 W · 263 L+31.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed 4ikibamboni60c79.39$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8334041.2%140 W · 200 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed 4ikibamboni50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358040%32 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Zero Tenacity56c69.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed 4ikibamboni46c69.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.576543.1%28 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c52…9eaebacked Zero Tenacity31c68.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.24040%16 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Zero Tenacity51c60.9$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.067361.6%45 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked 4ikibamboni46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3514856.8%84 W · 64 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed 4ikibamboni37c50.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5948054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed 4ikibamboni41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7823529.4%69 W · 166 L-21.5wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked 4ikibamboni29c48.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.284845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc37d…e586backed Zero Tenacity59c45.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1838759.4%230 W · 157 L+26.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ec9…1873backed Zero Tenacity58c45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.119839.4%78 W · 120 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked 4ikibamboni37c43.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2114848%71 W · 77 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed 4ikibamboni47c43.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6728252.1%147 W · 135 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…f70cbacked 4ikibamboni60c39.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.812556%14 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed 4ikibamboni62c31.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.98645.3%39 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed 4ikibamboni60c31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2816456.7%93 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…4c78backed 4ikibamboni40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183271.9%23 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+26.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked 4ikibamboni57c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.777538.7%29 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x69b7…ae1dbacked 4ikibamboni79c17.53$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.687471.6%53 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.