Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc6af955229a765fcc5cfd9b9518c5618791e7fc19d38dc43d648831d903f473
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 4ikibamboniof 4ikibamboni, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Zero Tenacity | 1c | 8,342$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.84 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked 4ikibamboni | 51c | 3,500$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.8 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Zero Tenacity | 15c | 3,500$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Zero Tenacity | 49c | 2,984$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.05 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 2,676$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.84 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 4ikibamboni | 73c | 2,007$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.85 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Zero Tenacity | 18c | 999.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 934$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.42 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…1b2ebacked Zero Tenacity | 40c | 800$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.5 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked 4ikibamboni | 59c | 719.43$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.43 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Zero Tenacity | 51c | 696.44$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.79 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 34c | 695.86$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.23 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked 4ikibamboni | 64c | 592.33$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 4ikibamboni | 48c | 494.77$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.02 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 467.96$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.34 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed 4ikibamboni | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Zero Tenacity | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 399.98$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 4ikibamboni | 68c | 342.69$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.12 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Zero Tenacity | 23c | 337.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.93 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Zero Tenacity | 17c | 333.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed 4ikibamboni | 71c | 332.26$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.24 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 4ikibamboni | 76c | 234.26$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Zero Tenacity | 12c | 228.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Zero Tenacity | 7c | 200.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed 4ikibamboni | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +11.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 187$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Zero Tenacity | 22c | 133$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Zero Tenacity | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked 4ikibamboni | 56c | 101$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed 4ikibamboni | 56c | 101$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked 4ikibamboni | 56c | 101$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Zero Tenacity | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked 4ikibamboni | 51c | 91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked 4ikibamboni | 51c | 91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed 4ikibamboni | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 84.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd37…9d71backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 81.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed 4ikibamboni | 78c | 80.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 79.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Zero Tenacity | 38c | 78.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Zero Tenacity | 38c | 78.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked 4ikibamboni | 66c | 74.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked 4ikibamboni | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked 4ikibamboni | 73c | 57.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed 4ikibamboni | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +13.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed 4ikibamboni | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked 4ikibamboni | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed 4ikibamboni | 53c | 54.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed 4ikibamboni | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed 4ikibamboni | 47c | 46.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed 4ikibamboni | 47c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked 4ikibamboni | 63c | 40.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked 4ikibamboni | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…4c78backed 4ikibamboni | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed 4ikibamboni | 78c | 25.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9195backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 24.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed 4ikibamboni | 62c | 17.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs4ikibamboni won
- Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner4ikibamboni won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.