Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50a8ec07cc4ed96d5bafb2fb08f35896a21ad10891f3952857b671b2c03878ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c9…b92fbacked No | 2c | 2,270$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…ade1backed No | 2c | 1,815$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 283 | 29.3%83 W · 200 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 8c | 894.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…2727backed No | 2c | 788.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…9f98backed No | 3c | 729.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 73c | 520.87$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.61 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f7…7df6backed Yes | 70c | 451.92$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 78c | 442.14$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.41 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…45afbacked No | 3c | 438.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…a612backed Yes | 69c | 408.78$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.08 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 47c | 393.61$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.09 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 38c | 389.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.69 | 847 | 59.4%503 W · 344 L | +41.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…c535backed No | 7c | 294.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65da…69d2backed No | 10c | 270$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed No | 13c | 249.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes | 48c | 248.7$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.11 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…afb2backed Yes | 53c | 241.15$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.73 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 56c | 218.35$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.02 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa580…b99abacked No | 5c | 215.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…e878backed No | 64c | 203.59$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.77 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.44per pick | 55cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…8c6bbacked No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…a90ebacked No | 35c | 199.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 45c | 195.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.72 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ae…ab5ebacked Yes | 57c | 186.15$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 22c | 177.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 62c | 160.34$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 199 | 37.7%75 W · 124 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 37c | 151.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 60c | 138.38$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61c…a03ebacked Yes | 45c | 135.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 67c | 111.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 69c | 109.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f65…d10dbacked Yes | 58c | 108$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 21c | 99.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…9fcfbacked No | 39c | 95.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…da25backed Yes | 44c | 88.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…4a25backed No | 58c | 87.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 410 | 70.5%289 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…8832backed Yes | 65c | 75.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c2…9bf9backed No | 54c | 74.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 41c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 44c | 69.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 58c | 67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed No | 30c | 66.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…3e9cbacked Yes | 55c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 833 | 32.1%267 W · 566 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9736…64b8backed No | 43c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e16…663dbacked Yes | 60c | 63.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…f2a1backed Yes | 66c | 63.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 60c | 61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…ddb8backed Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…cf86backed Yes | 76c | 53.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3154…67f5backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 42c | 50.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a2…0592backed Yes | 40c | 50.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…881ebacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e3…4a3bbacked Yes | 58c | 43.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabba…58bbbacked Yes | 48c | 41.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed No | 42c | 40.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…b920backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 180 | 35%63 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…3d3dbacked No | 43c | 38.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 44c | 36.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…d91bbacked Yes | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…e382backed Yes | 74c | 35.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x358b…3722backed Yes | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 525 | 33.1%174 W · 351 L | +21.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…1f7abacked Yes | 74c | 34.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +17.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…78b1backed Yes | 60c | 33.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 164 | 65.2%107 W · 57 L | +18.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed No | 45c | 33.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…8577backed Yes | 55c | 33.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 191 | 33.5%64 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 43c | 32.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…c0e6backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eee…bac2backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb96…794cbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 60c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 39c | 28.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 37c | 27.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…787bbacked Yes | 59c | 26.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0967…0c60backed No | 43c | 25.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…70e3backed Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…9040backed Yes | 58c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…d38fbacked Yes | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…76b0backed Yes | 51c | 23.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed Yes | 47c | 23.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…c88bbacked No | 51c | 22.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459a…18a6backed No | 48c | 21.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…3942backed Yes | 55c | 21.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed No | 49c | 20.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe5…d852backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 52c | 20.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…4395backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…9436backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…eef0backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…8ba4backed Yes | 62c | 19.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C or higher on February 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C or below on February 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on February 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.