TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Timberwolves, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,929
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,016

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,929 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves56c4,113$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,302.019,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks44c3,727$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.124,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves55c3,214$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.794,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Timberwolves55c2,327$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.7751354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Mavericks47c1,283$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.3849246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks44c1,102$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.244,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Mavericks45c1,064$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.4528537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks66c1,039$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.663,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Mavericks51c987.26$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.2617241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Timberwolves55c900$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49250653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed Timberwolves56c811.12$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.237943%34 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves47c770.81$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3624,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Timberwolves55c659.95$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.978252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Mavericks40c602.18$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.263,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Timberwolves56c521.74$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.1727246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves52c497.43$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.458,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mavericks54c493$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.472,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves56c410.04$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.393,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves54c372.93$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.033,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Mavericks44c276$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5645646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mavericks45c249.1$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.013,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Timberwolves58c238.94$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.430641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves48c218.32$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.82,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe64b…3499backed Timberwolves30c200$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.516947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Timberwolves66c196.79$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3723845.4%108 W · 130 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Timberwolves35c164.23$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.721,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Mavericks45c155.56$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5655846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks42c152.51$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.463,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Mavericks44c138$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2856547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks43c127.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.586,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Timberwolves55c120.47$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2685147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Timberwolves37c115.51$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.881,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb590…15d3backed Timberwolves55c110.91$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Timberwolves57c105.8$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3123249.6%115 W · 117 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Timberwolves55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5520847.1%98 W · 110 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Mavericks47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5389050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Timberwolves48c94.22$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4188057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Mavericks37c90.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.142,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mavericks53c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.31,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Timberwolves55c90$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.21,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Mavericks67c89.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0812458.9%73 W · 51 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves56c89.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa81…44a9backed Timberwolves57c88.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506943.5%30 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Timberwolves30c87.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.251,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Timberwolves49c84.05$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.791,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Timberwolves52c69.75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3665950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Mavericks47c60.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.992,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3714…1af6backed Timberwolves55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf095…111bbacked Mavericks44c53.19$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7911250.9%57 W · 55 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Timberwolves49c51.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0468645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Timberwolves54c50.46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.413737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Timberwolves55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Timberwolves26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1376653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Mavericks43c49$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.931,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Mavericks56c46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.472343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves49c40.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.772,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Timberwolves34c38.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.191,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Mavericks31c38.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7117844.4%79 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Timberwolves57c38.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227744.2%34 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Mavericks45c36.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0247349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves49c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.642,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Timberwolves57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08cf…4b40backed Timberwolves52c34.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Timberwolves58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed95…889cbacked Mavericks48c33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1619750.3%99 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb08b…e878backed Mavericks47c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.432352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Mavericks45c29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9539055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mavericks45c28.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.791,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Timberwolves56c28.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.631,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Timberwolves57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524358%141 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Timberwolves56c23.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1356454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked Mavericks46c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.427052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Timberwolves56c20.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6976552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Timberwolves57c20.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.551,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc208…e74fbacked Timberwolves56c20.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.237251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad78…678cbacked Timberwolves53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.63174.2%23 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick74cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb17…071abacked Timberwolves57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Timberwolves56c19.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9657657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb55b…be21backed Mavericks64c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.762846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.