TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,695
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,747

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,695 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes39c1,773$690 inLost-$689.7167252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No60c1,354$814 inWon+$540.071,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b45…9723backed No63c603.71$382 inWon+$221.8726069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No61c350$214 inWon+$136.590863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf12d…7350backed Yes37c297.44$111 inLost-$110.751118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick49cpaid-70%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes41c283.3$116 inLost-$11621937%81 W · 138 L-15.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc548…c22ebacked Yes38c236$90 inLost-$89.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed No64c200$128 inWon+$7216361.3%100 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5760…ec95backed Yes36c200$72 inLost-$721127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No62c158.23$98 inWon+$59.824,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No62c101.92$63 inWon+$38.8983158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c9d…8498backed Yes37c67.89$25 inLost-$255648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e0f…0fe0backed Yes36c57.57$21 inLost-$211050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe15f…93d7backed No63c50$32 inWon+$18.521672.2%156 W · 60 L+28.6wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No62c50$31 inWon+$19.2595260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes38c38.04$14 inLost-$14.462,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5430…c1d3backed No62c36$22 inWon+$13.6822774.4%169 W · 58 L+22.5wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c05…fabfbacked No63c33.6$21 inWon+$12.437673.7%56 W · 20 L+11.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes38c31.49$12 inLost-$1253349.3%263 W · 270 L-28.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6793…1869backed Yes39c28.26$11 inLost-$117022.9%16 W · 54 L-14.1wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-50.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb08b…e878backed Yes39c26$10 inLost-$10.142352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No64c25.44$16 inWon+$9.1628537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked No80c24$19 inWon+$4.817151.5%88 W · 83 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No62c20$12 inWon+$7.521,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bfa…bc94backed No61c20$12 inWon+$7.86953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.