TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Timberwolves, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$600,772
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$600,748

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $600,772 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Timberwolves49c469,173$229,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229,093.7987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Mavericks51c250,000$127,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122,5001,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks52c172,106$89,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,891.982,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks51c89,024$45,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,621.672,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Timberwolves48c60,000$28,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,90060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks52c18,863$9,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,137.889,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Timberwolves48c18,569$8,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,944.91,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Mavericks51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,90035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mavericks51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9201,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Timberwolves49c5,463$2,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,67770246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves48c5,068$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.444,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Mavericks52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9201,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Mavericks51c3,333$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.1714753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Mavericks53c3,257$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.792,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Mavericks53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Timberwolves49c2,796$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Timberwolves47c2,334$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09720948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Timberwolves49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks53c1,792$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.584,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Timberwolves47c1,670$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.71,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Timberwolves49c1,036$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.848546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Mavericks52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Timberwolves48c731.52$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.4541947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x672a…abb7backed Timberwolves49c645.08$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.091442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdab9…cdfcbacked Timberwolves49c540.92$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2655437%20 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks51c517.6$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.582,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Timberwolves47c485.98$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.418541.2%35 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves45c448.87$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.678,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62e…8885backed Timberwolves49c407.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-78.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Timberwolves47c360$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.221743.8%95 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Mavericks52c299.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14491148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Timberwolves48c299.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14426756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Mavericks51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1255846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Timberwolves49c270$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.717747.5%84 W · 93 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a1e…b1a3backed Timberwolves47c255.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Mavericks52c240.96$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3992750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves46c240.02$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.411,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Mavericks48c240$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.862450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Mavericks53c214.65$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9848852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc208…e74fbacked Timberwolves48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Timberwolves50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Timberwolves48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9627246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Timberwolves48c199.97$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9822850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Mavericks52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3128554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Mavericks53c188.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.674746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfae1…7bb6backed Timberwolves50c180.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904953.1%26 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Timberwolves49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.530641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Timberwolves49c146.94$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7213045.4%59 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Mavericks53c137.72$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7314557.9%84 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Mavericks53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.088942.7%38 W · 51 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks77c131$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.133,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks50c131$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.54,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb314…aacbbacked Timberwolves48c114.78$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.191656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Timberwolves48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Mavericks53c102.88$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3523453%124 W · 110 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Mavericks52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4833949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Mavericks53c94.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4462844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Mavericks44c92.73$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.983,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf095…111bbacked Timberwolves50c92.38$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1911250.9%57 W · 55 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf24…1208backed Timberwolves49c82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.189328%26 W · 67 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mavericks53c72.56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.173,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked Timberwolves49c71.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510955%60 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Timberwolves49c60.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.851,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Mavericks52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.694551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Timberwolves49c57.04$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9514754.4%80 W · 67 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24be…8d08backed Mavericks65c55.38$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.38560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Mavericks51c53.11$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.983,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x59d0…a871backed Timberwolves49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Timberwolves48c50.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.514050.7%71 W · 69 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves48c50.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.13,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Mavericks52c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.771,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Mavericks53c48.85$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.961,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d90…cf08backed Mavericks52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0819940.7%81 W · 118 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe98d…8fe0backed Timberwolves26c47.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.054531.1%14 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Mavericks80c46.3$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3612458.9%73 W · 51 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Timberwolves49c42.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2148451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Timberwolves48c42.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.422748.9%111 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Timberwolves49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Mavericks52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Timberwolves27c38.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4512227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mavericks53c37.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.551,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Mavericks52c36.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Timberwolves48c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4666646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Mavericks65c31.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9711045.5%50 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves48c30.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.843,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Timberwolves49c27.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6223249.6%115 W · 117 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfef9…67afbacked Timberwolves48c23.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.491216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-65.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe3c2…63f7backed Timberwolves48c23.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.211338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves49c22.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb03…ddcebacked Timberwolves48c20.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.063268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.