NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d0fdbcae4196788ac4d87d4e848f1c9de113e362a78f4aa4271f7e3ea46b0f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Timberwolves, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $600,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $600,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $600,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Timberwolves | 49c | 469,173$229,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229,093.79 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Mavericks | 51c | 250,000$127,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,500 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks | 52c | 172,106$89,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,891.98 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks | 51c | 89,024$45,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,621.67 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Timberwolves | 48c | 60,000$28,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,900 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 52c | 18,863$9,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,137.88 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Timberwolves | 48c | 18,569$8,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,944.9 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Mavericks | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mavericks | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Timberwolves | 49c | 5,463$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 48c | 5,068$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.44 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Mavericks | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Mavericks | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.17 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Mavericks | 53c | 3,257$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.79 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Mavericks | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,796$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 2,334$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks | 53c | 1,792$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.58 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,670$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.7 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,036$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.8 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 731.52$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.45 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Timberwolves | 49c | 645.08$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…cdfcbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 540.92$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks | 51c | 517.6$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.58 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 485.98$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.41 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 45c | 448.87$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…8885backed Timberwolves | 49c | 407.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Timberwolves | 47c | 360$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Mavericks | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Mavericks | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Timberwolves | 49c | 270$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.7 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…b1a3backed Timberwolves | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Mavericks | 52c | 240.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.39 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 46c | 240.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.41 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Mavericks | 48c | 240$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Mavericks | 53c | 214.65$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Timberwolves | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Timberwolves | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Timberwolves | 48c | 199.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Mavericks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Mavericks | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…7bb6backed Timberwolves | 50c | 180.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Timberwolves | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Timberwolves | 49c | 146.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Mavericks | 53c | 137.72$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Mavericks | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 77c | 131$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 50c | 131$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb314…aacbbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 114.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Mavericks | 53c | 102.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Mavericks | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Mavericks | 53c | 94.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Mavericks | 44c | 92.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…111bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 92.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed Timberwolves | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mavericks | 53c | 72.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Timberwolves | 49c | 60.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Mavericks | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 57.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24be…8d08backed Mavericks | 65c | 55.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Mavericks | 51c | 53.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Timberwolves | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Timberwolves | 48c | 50.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves | 48c | 50.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Mavericks | 52c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Mavericks | 53c | 48.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…cf08backed Mavericks | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98d…8fe0backed Timberwolves | 26c | 47.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Mavericks | 80c | 46.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Timberwolves | 48c | 42.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Mavericks | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 38.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mavericks | 53c | 37.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Mavericks | 52c | 36.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Timberwolves | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Mavericks | 65c | 31.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 48c | 30.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 27.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 232 | 49.6%115 W · 117 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef9…67afbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 23.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c2…63f7backed Timberwolves | 48c | 23.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 22.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…ddcebacked Timberwolves | 48c | 20.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)this page
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Mavericks vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Under won
- Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.